Situational angles are popping up everywhere for college football Week 10.
Top Week 10 predictions Saturday from our backtested betting models feature a hefty six matching picks, with access to three separate PRO Systems.
Strategies involve upset predictions, fading teams due for letdowns and more.
Transitioning from insights to action, here’s a package of six premium college football picks Saturday: Moneyline and spread bets.
College Football Predictions, Situational Angles, Picks for Week 10
The “Ranked Matchups” PRO System is only active when two teams ranked in the Top 25 meet, under certain circumstances. Last week, this trend nailed all three picks.
In Week 10, Pitt vs. SMU is a direct hit!
SMU is favored by 7.5 points at home. Ranked Matchups shows that when two ranked teams play and the home team is favored by -3 or more, the home side has covered 58% of the time. If the game’s neutral, the model simply pivots to betting the favorite.
Last Saturday, Alabama, Oregon and Notre Dame all beat the spread.
Ranked Matchups Picks:
- SMU (vs. Pitt)
If a home team is favored the game after they score single digits, they only cover 41% of the time!
Two offenses struggled in their last game and are laying chalk at home, which pinged our “Scoring Streak Fade” model.
Purdue (off a 35-0 loss) and New Mexico (which lost to Colorado State 17-6) are both fade material Saturday of Week 10.
Scoring Streak Fade Picks:
- Northwestern to cover (vs. Purdue)
- Wyoming to cover (vs. New Mexico)
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Lastly, our upset-minded moneyline spotted a trio of underdogs ripe to win outright Saturday.
If an unranked road team is +1 to +4 against the spread with an over/under of 46 or higher, the road underdog has won outright 51% of the time.
Three teams Saturday of Week 10 fit the mold for the “Small Visiting Dogs” system: TCU, Tulsa and Middle Tennessee State.
Small Visiting Dogs Picks:
- TCU (at Baylor)
- Tulsa (at UAB)
- Middle Tennessee State (vs. UTEP)
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