Upset picks, undervalued road teams and windy games take the cake as the best situational angles to bet for college football on Saturday.
Our Week 11 betting preview features three neat PRO Systems, which submitted eight active college football predictions to lock in.
Bettors can expect a full mix of spread, moneyline and over/under predictions for Week 11.
College Football Predictions, Betting Tips, Model Picks for Saturday Week 11
Upset picks can shake up everything, and our moneyline-only model shows value on five underdogs. Therefore, betting them to win outright is the best route in raking up as much value as possible.
The “Small Visiting Dogs” PRO Systems flagged four teams that, historically, have proven solid moneyline bets.
When a road team is +1 to +4 against the spread, and they’re unranked, the underdog has won 50% of the time since tracking, granted the over/under is higher than 46.
The model theory is that projected high-scoring games add variance, lending an edge to underdogs within this spread range.
Four college football teams on Saturday of Week 11 fit the “Small Visiting Dogs” principle: Syracuse, Duke, San Jose State and UCF. All picks are bolded and sorted by game time!
Small Visiting Dogs Picks:
- Syracuse (to beat Boston College)
- Duke (to beat NC State)
- San Jose State (to beat Oregon State)
- UCF (to beat Arizona State)
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Visit our college football odds page for the best moneyline prices.
One of the most insightful PRO Systems is “Road Streak,” cashing 58%.
We found that teams in certain conferences perform well against the spread when they’re between their second and fifth consecutive game away from home. The common theory here is that bettors dock teams in the spread market due to perceived fatigue or travel.
Removing teams off a bye, “Road Streak” popped with a bunch of model picks for Saturday to cover the spread.
Duke, which played at Miami last week, is a recommended pick (+3 at NC State).
Minnesota (-6.5 at Rutgers) was also flagged, as the Golden Gophers play back-to-back roadies.
Finally, the Florida Gators at +21.5 vs. Texas rounds out three solid model picks.
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Road Streak Picks:
- Duke to Cover (vs. NC State)
- Minnesota to Cover (vs. Rutgers)
- Florida to Cover (vs. Texas)
Lastly, the UNLV vs. Hawaii under 50 matches our Windy Unders betting system.
This wind-based model alerts to bet games under the total (57% win rate) featuring gusts of 13 mph or more. Bet Labs shows the game’s slated for 16 mph, offering a solid over/under edge in the late-night window.
Windy Unders Picks:
- UNLV vs. Hawaii Under
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