Three college football underdogs on Saturday of Week 11 are in prime position for an upset. PRO Systems provided us with three plus-money moneyline predictions to consider.
Also, parlaying all three data-driven ‘dogs produces a payout of +1117.
Here’s what’s going on Saturday of Week 11.
Our backtested betting models flagged three underdogs, which, historically, have been great candidates for upsets.
Plus, two of the three moneyline predictions we’re covering below feature separate PRO Systems backing the underdogs to further bolster the strength of the picks.
College Football Parlay Picks, Moneyline Predictions for Week 11
There’s a method to how our PRO System picks moneyline underdogs. It’s supported by a strategy that has produced a 14% ROI over the long haul.
Here’s the best way to target upset predictions and plus-money payouts based on Action PRO models.
If an unranked road team is +1 to +4 against the spread and the over/under is 46 or higher, the road underdog has won 50% of the time!
This is predicated on our “Small Visiting Dogs” principle.
This may not seem like a huge edge on paper, but a 50% win percentage implies a fair price of +100. Below, several teams fit the system and are priced at +130, offering terrific value for an upset.
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These are the three teams offering the best value for Week 11 to upset their opponent:
UCF (+130) vs. Arizona State
Duke (+130) vs. North Carolina State
San Jose State (+130) vs. Oregon State
UCF is +130, but our projections make the fair price +108.
In the Duke-NC State clash, another PRO System backs Duke against the spread, offering additional support for the Blue Devils: Our “Road Streak” model highlights teams traveling just like Duke, which just played on the road last week.
Finally, San Jose State is in a great spot according to our Scoring Streak Fade model.
Shopping for the best odds is crucial in this case. Caesars conveniently offers the best price (+130) on all three moneyline ‘dogs.
Parlay Price: +1117
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