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NCAAF Odds, Picks for Washington State vs. Arizona State

Washington State vs. Arizona State Odds

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Washington State hits the road to face Arizona State in a Pac-12 game where both teams need a win to get their seasons on track.

The Cougars opened with four straight victories before dropping three straight entering this one. They’re 1-3 in conference play.

Meanwhile, the Sun Devils have dropped every game since their opener, owning a 1-6 record on the year.

I expect two hungry teams in this matchup, and I think this game ends closer than the oddsmakers project it.

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In his first season with the program, everything was going right for coach Jake Dickert. Wazzu started the year with wins over two nationally-ranked opponents in Wisconsin and Oregon State, alongside dominant victories over Colorado State and Northern Colorado.

Then, Dickert’s squad had a bye week when they were peaking. Since that week off, things haven’t been the same.

One can understand road losses to UCLA and Oregon. You can’t explain away a 38-point defeat at home to Arizona.

Despite everything, the Cougars still boast a high-flying offense that ranks second nationally in passing yards. The unit is led by quarterback Cameron Ward, who’s sixth nationally among passers with 335.4 yards per game.

If Dickert can turn things around, it can motivate the rest of the team to raise their play in a bowl-game push.

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Head coach Kenny Dillingham has to wonder what it will take to secure his first conference victory with the program.

Dillingham’s team has been so close over the last three weeks, losing all three by a combined 14 points. That includes holding No. 5 Washington without an offensive touchdown a week ago in another close defeat.

Despite the close losses, the defensive improvements are encouraging. Over the past four weeks, the Sun Devils rank among the top-10 Power 5 programs in Explosiveness allowed and Havoc generated.

Considering it posted these marks against some solid offenses like Colorado and Washington, Arizona State’s defense looks even better.

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Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Washington State and Arizona State match up statistically:

Washington State Offense vs. Arizona State Defense
Offense
Defense
Edge
Rush Success 45 70
Line Yards 124 109
Pass Success 42 39
Havoc 76 89
Finishing Drives 60 87
Quality Drives 56 104
Arizona State Offense vs. Washington State Defense
Offense
Defense
Edge
Rush Success 64 104
Line Yards 73 83
Pass Success 125 67
Havoc 111 58
Finishing Drives 127 99
Quality Drives 105 105
Pace of Play / Other
PFF Tackling 89 41
PFF Coverage 63 97
Special Teams SP+ 16 113
Middle 8 30 88
Seconds per Play 25.4 (45) 26.2 (56)
Rush Rate 41.8% (127) 43.9% (121)
Data via CollegeFootballData.com, SP+, Pro Football Focus and SportSource Analytics.

[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Washington State vs Arizona State” subtext=”Betting Pick & Prediction” center=”false” logo1url=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/252389_action-logo-check.png”][/subheader]

Despite the differing records, I don’t see a big difference between these two teams. So, I’m betting Arizona State keeps it close at home, covering the six-point spread.

The big question will be whether the Sun Devils can stop the Cougars passing attack. I think they can, as Arizona State enters this matchup ranked 39th in Pass Success Rate Allowed.

Meanwhile, this Washington State offense still ranks just 60th in Finishing Drives, which is vital when trying to cover as a road favorite. The Cougars rank among the bottom 20 Power 5 programs in that metric over the past four weeks.

On the other side of the ball, the Cougars defense has struggled to stuff the run all year. Arizona State doesn’t have the best ground attack, but it should do enough to keep the defense off the field.

ASU has either covered or pushed in the four straight. I’m betting on more of the same here.

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Brett Pund

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