College football’s Saturday Week 6 slate isn’t one that pops off the page in terms of huge, high-profile matchups, but it still offers more than 100 games for bettors to find value.
Recreational bettors tend to flock toward top-25, nationally-televised games to have a little action with their viewing.
Interestingly enough, some of Saturday’s smartest college football picks come via matchups that include ranked teams, like:
- No. 17 TCU vs. No. 19 Kansas (12 p.m. ET)
- Arkansas vs. No. 23 Mississippi State (12 p.m. ET)
- No. 21 Washington vs. Arizona State (4 p.m. ET)
- South Carolina vs. No. 13 Kentucky (7:30 p.m. ET)
Using the Action Network’s College Football PRO tools, here are the picks that savvy bettors should considering for Saturday’s Week 6 games.
College Football Picks for Week 6
*College football odds as of Saturday morning
TCU vs. Kansas Pick
12 p.m. ET | FS1
TCU opened as a 2.5-point road favorite against Kansas at FanDuel and wiseguys were quick to lay the points in this matchup.
Waves of smart money have continued to crash on the Horned Frogs throughout the week, driving this spread up to -7 at most shops across the market.
And even with the drastic odds movement, the Action Network’s College Football PRO Projections are still finding value with TCU.
Our betting model projects the spread at Horned Frogs -10.4, resulting in a 3.8% edge when compared to TCU -7.
PRO Report Pick: TCU -7
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Arkansas vs. Mississippi State Pick
12 p.m. ET | SEC Network
Mississippi State has stretched from -4 to -9 for Saturday’s game against Arkansas, and big bets are the reason.
The Action Network’s college football public betting data is reporting that the Bulldogs have attracted 77% of the money on just 46% of the tickets, a dead giveaway that oddsmakers are being inundated with large wagers backing Mississippi State.
PRO Report Pick: Mississippi State -9
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Washington vs. Arizona State Pick
4 p.m. ET | Pac-12 Network
As recently as Tuesday afternoon, the Washington vs. Arizona State over/under sat at 58.5.
That total now sits at 55.5 thanks to big money from sharp players.
Wiseguys have bombed the under to the tune of 48% of the loot on just 24% of the bets, leaving oddsmakers little choice but to drop this line to stem the flow of smart money.
PRO Report Pick: Under 55.5
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South Carolina vs. Kentucky Pick
7:30 p.m. ET | SEC Network
Pro bettors have taken a market-moving position on South Carolina in this Saturday night Week 6 matchup.
The Gamecocks are a match for our Conference Matchup Heavily Bet PRO System, which has produced an against-the-spread record of 284-210-9 (57%) since the start of the 2005 season.
With wiseguys ripping South Carolina and the points to take advantage, this spread has plummeted from Gamecocks +10.5 to +6 as of the time of writing.
PRO Report Pick: South Carolina +6