We have a college football betting system titled “Ranked Matchups,” which only submits picks when two teams in the top 25 meet, under certain conditions.
The first match of the 2024 season is a Clemson vs. Georgia spread pick from our 58% NCAAF PRO System.
The Tigers are ranked No. 14 and the Bulldogs are No. 1. The non-conference opener is set for 12 p.m. on Saturday in Atlanta, Georgia.
Top-ranked Georgia is led by quarterback Carson Beck. The offensive collectively lost Brock Bowers and Ladd McConkey, but the new scheme features tight ends Oscar Delp and Ben Yurosek to lead the SEC powerhouse.
Head coach Dabo Swinney and the Tigers, meanwhile, reload with the same core. The offense will be led by quarterback Cade Klubnik, who has loads of experience. Clemson’s defense remains solid, tying for the most takeaways in the nation and ranking in the top 10 for total defense last season.
Georgia is expected to win by double digits on Saturday in college football’s Week 1. Let’s see what historical data reveals about which top-25 team covers the spread in this spot more often than not.
Clemson vs Georgia Spread Pick Saturday Utilizing Unique Top-25 Trend
Georgia was a 14-point favorite in the majority of the lead-up to Week 1 before the number ticked down.
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Swinney has only been a double-digit underdog twice in the last 10 years. One of those? +10 vs. Georgia a decade ago. The Tigers lost, 45-21.
Although Georgia is laying a pretty big number against another ranked team, data points to the Georgia Bulldogs covering the spread Saturday in Week 1.
The “Ranked Matchups” betting strategy advises wagering on the home team in games where two top-25 college football teams play each other, and the home team is favored by a minimum of three points.
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However, this top-25 trend is also good for neutral-site games, just like Clemson vs. Georgia, which is being played at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta; we simply just bet the favorite, if they’re -3 or more.
Historically, betting the favorite when they’re more than -3 in top-25 games has proven effective, covering the spread 58% of the time and delivering a 12% return on investment.
The Clemson vs. Georgia spread for Week 1 is also dropping since open, as limits increase. It could be a good time in the market to buy the Bulldogs at a cheaper number.
PRO System Pick: Georgia -11.5
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