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BYU vs. Arizona State Prediction, Odds, Picks & NCAAF Betting Guide for Week 13

The stakes have been raised as the No. 14 BYU Cougars (9-1) take on the No. 21 Arizona State Sun Devils (8-2).

Arizona State is a 3-point favorite on the spread with a 48.5-point over/under.

Let’s dive into this matchup and see my BYU vs. Arizona State predictions and college football picks.

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  • BYU vs. Arizona State: Arizona State 1H -1.5

My BYU vs. Arizona State best bet is on the Sun Devils to cover the first-half spread, with the best line currently available at ESPNBet, according to our live NCAAF odds page.

BYU vs. Arizona State Odds, Lines, Spread

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  • BYU vs Arizona State Spread: BYU +3.5 · Arizona State -3.5
  • BYU vs Arizona State Over/Under: 48.5
  • BYU vs Arizona State Moneyline: BYU ML +140 · Arizona State ML -165

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BYU Cougars Betting Preview: Can Rushing Attack Get Back on Track?

Last week, we saw the Cougars post a season-low 13 points in their loss to Kansas. The Jayhawks contained the rushing attack and prevented big plays through the air.

This resulted in BYU being put in third-down situations, where they have struggled all season, converting just 30% of them. This Saturday, we may see a similar scenario as they line up against the Sun Devils.

Arizona State ranks 43rd in Rush Success Rate allowed and is even with the Cougars in the trenches. This will force BYU into passing situations, where the Sun Devils will also be well prepared.

Big plays have been minimal against the ASU secondary, which ranks 26th in yards per pass allowed. Quarterback Jake Retzlaff hasn’t been efficient through the air, ranking 102nd in completion percentage.

If the Sun Devils contain the ground game, we will see another sluggish start from BYU’s offense.

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Arizona State Sun Devils Betting Preview: Skattebo Leading the Way

The BYU defense looks daunting on paper, but a closer look reveals that the Sun Devils will have opportunities for success. We have to start on the ground as the Sun Devils rank 16th in rush rate this season.

Running back Cam Skattebo has set the tone for this offense all season. He’s picking up 5.4 yards per carry and has found scored 11 times. He should get going early against the Cougars as the Sun Devils have an edge in the trenches.

Arizona State outranks BYU 20 to 72 in Line Yards and 15 to 75 in Rush Success Rate. However, it doesn’t stop there for the Sun Devils.

Quarterback Sam Leavitt has shown that he can stretch the field efficiently. He ranks 29th in yards per pass and holds a 17-to-4 touchdown-to-interception ratio.

The Cougars’ strength this season has been their pass defense. However, their ranks of fifth in opponent completion percentage and sixth in yards per pass allowed may be overblown.

BYU is 50th in PFF’s coverage grade and doesn’t generate much pressure, ranking 123rd in sack rate. If the Cougars are forced to load the box to stop the run, Leavitt will make them pay.

Arizona State vs. BYU Matchup Analysis

Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how BYU and Arizona State match up statistically:

BYU Offense vs. Arizona State Defense
Offense
Defense
Edge
Rush Success 58 43
Line Yards 53 55
Pass Success 70 60
Havoc 60 86
Finishing Drives 61 66
Quality Drives 29 65
Arizona State Offense vs. BYU Defense
Offense
Defense
Edge
Rush Success 15 75
Line Yards 20 72
Pass Success 36 24
Havoc 14 48
Finishing Drives 63 77
Quality Drives 16 42
Pace of Play / Other
PFF Tackling 65 81
PFF Coverage 50 48
Special Teams SP+ 16 126
Middle 8 24 5
Seconds per Play 29.3 (115) 28.0 (91)
Rush Rate 54% (55) 62% (17)
Data via CollegeFootballData.com, SP+, Pro Football Focus and SportSource Analytics.

[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”How to Bet My BYU vs. Arizona State Pick” center=”true” logo1url=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/252389_action-logo-check.png”][/subheader]

All signs point to the Sun Devils’ success in the early part of this game. They come in with confidence and momentum and get to play in front of a raucous crowd.

That should amplify ASU’s defense early, and the offense can control the game by keeping the ball on the ground.

ASU’s consistent ground game will open up big opportunities through the air, which should lead to the Sun Devils being ahead come halftime.

Pick: Arizona State 1st Half -1.5 (-110, ESPN BET) | Play to -2.5(-110)

BYU vs. Arizona State Channel, How To Watch, Streaming, Location

Location: Mountain America Stadium, Tempe, AZ
Date: Saturday, Nov. 23
Kickoff Time: 3:30 p.m. ET
TV / Streaming: ESPN

BYU vs. Arizona State will be played at Mountain America Stadium on Saturday, Nov. 23, at 3:30 p.m. ET. The game can be streamed live on ESPN.

BYU vs. Arizona State Betting Trends

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BYU vs. Arizona State Weather

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[gameforecast league=”ncaaf” gameid=”227201″ date=”2024-11-23″][/gameforecast]
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