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Big 12 College Football Picks | Week 1 Predictions, Best Bets

Action Network has a Week 1 college football betting model that only picks the opening game of the season – and Big 12 matchups are the hot betting item to open the 2023 college football season.

The winning college football model has a whopping eight Big 12 picks and best bets for Week 1.

The expert system with the Big 12 picks for Week 1 has won 56% of past best bets. It’s a rare betting angle, highlighting teams that played in a bowl game last year, the game’s location and more.

The eight Big 12 model picks for Week 1 are the most of any Power 5 Conference.

Read on for how the advanced college football model works – and more importantly, the eight Big 12 picks against the spread for Week 1.

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College football odds Thursday, July 27, via BetMGM


Ready to place your bets? Head over to BetMGM for the best markets, parlays, player props and more across the entire sports landscape!

Big 12 Best Bets Week 1

Kent State vs. UCF (-33.5)

Thursday, 8/31 | 7 p.m. ET on FS1

Here we go, ladies and gentlemen. Action Network’s Opening Game Matchup PRO system is officially active.

This 56%-winning college football system suggests betting:

    • Home or neutral teams
    • That made a bowl last year
    • In the first game of the season

Thus, the first Big 12 pick is on the UCF Knights against the spread vs. MAC foe Kent State. This is UCF’s first year in the Big 12.

Click here to view the full scope of the betting model, which also removes any betting spreads that have moved at least a full point, so bettors don’t have to worry about losing value.

PRO Report Pick: UCF ATS

Colorado vs. TCU (-20)

Saturday, 9/2 | 12 p.m. ET on FOX

The model’s pick is on the TCU Horned Frogs, who host Deion Sanders and Colorado on the first Saturday in September in the second matchup of a home-and-home series.

TCU covered over Colorado last season in a 38-13 win.

PRO Report Pick: TCU ATS

Arkansas State vs. Oklahoma (-33.5)

Saturday, 9/2 | 12 p.m. ET on ESPN

The Oklahoma Sooners fit the model’s parameters in Week 1.

The Sooners are big favorites (-32.5), marking the fourth straight year they’ve laid 31 or more points in their opener.

PRO Report Pick: Oklahoma ATS

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Rice vs. Texas (-34.5)

Saturday, 9/2 | 3:30 p.m. ET on Longhorn Network

The next pick is a play on the Texas Longhorns minus the points in an in-state, non-conference clash with Rice.

Texas leads the Big 12 in college football expert Collin Wilson’s 2023 power ratings. Check out where every team in the country slots here.

PRO Report Pick: Texas ATS

UTSA vs. Houston (+1)

Saturday, 9/2 | 7 p.m. ET on FS1

UTSA vs. Houston in Week 1 marks a rematch of last year’s overtime thriller.

Here, it’s a play on the Houston Cougars, who, like UCF, are making their Big 12 debut.

PRO Report Pick: Houston ATS

Texas State vs. Baylor (-26)

Saturday, 9/2 | 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+

It’s yet again a play on the Big 12 team, this time with the Baylor Bears.

Baylor was profitable last season against the spread (7-6, 53.9%) but was an obvious regression candidate after ranking in the top five nationally (10-4, 71.4%) in 2021.

PRO Report Pick: Baylor ATS

Texas Tech vs. Wyoming (+13.5)

Saturday, 9/2 | 7:30 p.m. ET on CBS

The first six picks from the model were all Big 12 favorites — but not here!

The final pick matching the system is a bet on the Wyoming Cowboys against the spread as home underdogs.

PRO Report Pick: Wyoming ATS

West Virginia vs. Penn State (-20.5)

Saturday, 9/2 | 7:30 p.m. ET on NBC, Peacock

The Penn State Nittany Lions have the potential to make some noise this season and fit the system in Week 1.

PRO Report Pick: Penn State ATS

For more Action Network coverage of the 2023 NCAAF season, check out the latest college football odds, as well as the public betting percentage breakdowns for all games.