The Action Network has developed an A1 betting algorithm that lights up for only 15 college basketball games per year and encompasses Tennessee vs. Florida on Wednesday night.
The proprietary algorithm has gone 55-35 (61%) against the spread since 2017, returning an annual 18% on investment during that timeframe.
If you had wagered $500 on the roughly 15 college basketball games per season that have fit this algorithm, you’d be up more than $8,000.
We don’t recommend using this betting algorithm as an alternative to investing — variance is a much sturdier constraint in sports gambling compared to the financial markets — but similar principles apply in regard to gains over a long time horizon.
Tennessee vs. Florida College Basketball Best Bet, Prediction: The A1 Algorithm Pick
This betting algorithm has a list of parameters it considers when targeting a specific game and line. In general, it fades the public by betting against elite teams against the spread.
The public tends to overvalue highly ranked teams, especially ones facing bad teams coming off of a big loss.
The games that fit this betting algorithm require:
- The team you’d fade is ranked No. 1 to No. 6 in the country
- It’s a conference game
- The team you’d bet on is unranked
- The team you’d bet on lost their previous game by 14 or more points
As aforementioned, since 2017, teams under these criteria have won 61% of the time against the spread.
For Wednesday night, these principles apply to Florida at a market-best price of +5.5 (-115) at BetMGM.
The unranked Gators lost their last game by 14 points on the road against No. 7 ranked Kansas State.
Meanwhile, Tennessee is ranked No. 2 and is one of the public’s darlings.
PRO Pick: Florida +5.5 (-115)