It’s time for the Final Four, and there’s many avenues to ultimately being a plus-bettor during college basketball’s biggest string of games.
Here’s NCAAB player props and three Final Four picks for Zach Edey, Lance Jones and Rylan Griffen.
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NCAAB Player Prop Picks for Final Four
In the table below, you’ll find each of our college basketball staff’s top player prop picks from today’s slate of games. Click on any pick or team logo to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
|---|---|
| 6:09 p.m. | [teammatchup shadow=”false” link=”#1″ firstfullname=”Purdue Boilermakers” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaab/100/pur.png” text=”Zach Edey”][/teammatchup] |
| 6:09 p.m. | [teammatchup shadow=”false” link=”#2″ firstfullname=”Purdue Boilermakers” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaab/100/pur.png” text=”Lance Jones”][/teammatchup] |
| 8:49 p.m. | [teammatchup shadow=”false” link=”#3″ firstfullname=”Alabama Crimson Tide” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2021/12/Alabama-alternate-logo-100-100.png” text=”Rylan Griffen”][/teammatchup] |
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Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NCAAB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.
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[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”NC State vs. Purdue”][/subheader]
[gameheader haspick=”false” league=”ncaab” awaylogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2021/12/NC-State-alternate-logo-100.png” awayname=”NC State Wolfpack” awayslug=”north-carolina-state-wolfpack” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaab/100/pur.png” homename=”Purdue Boilermakers” homeslug=”purdue-boilermakers” date=”Saturday, April 6″ time=”6:09 p.m. ET” network=”TBS”][/gameheader]
[subheader text=”Zach Edey” subtext=”Over 1.5 Assists (-150)” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaab/100/pur.png” trailinglogourl=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/859377_Bet365@1x.png” trailinglink=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/online-sports-betting/reviews/bet365″ trailinglinkfollow=”false”][/subheader]
Zach Edey is the most controversial and best player in college basketball. He’s the first back-to-back National Player of the Year award winner since Ralph Sampson in the early 1980s.
More importantly, I found some value on Edey’s assist prop against NC State.
With how frequently Edey gets doubled inside, it creates chances for him to rack up assists. He’s averaging two dimes per game and has racked up at least two in 26 of 37 games this season.
Edey failed to crack this line in the past two games against Tennessee and Gonzaga, but he went over in the first two tourney games against Northwestern and Grambling State.
Purdue’s complimentary players will have ample opportunity to score off of passes from Edey; it just comes down to Purdue’s shooters connecting on open looks created by the dominance Edey creates inside.
I’m banking on the Boilers hitting these shots.
Pick: Zach Edey Over 1.5 Assists (-150)
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[subheader text=”Lance Jones” subtext=”Under 11.5 Points (-115)” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaab/100/pur.png” trailinglogourl=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/477013_DraftKings@1x.png” trailinglink=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/online-sports-betting/reviews/draftkings” trailinglinkfollow=”false”][/subheader]
Purdue’s offense hasn’t skipped a beat during the NCAA Tournament, and it’s come without Lance Jones making a dent.
This line makes sense for Jones’ 11.8 points-per-game average, but he’s scored fewer than 10 points in three of the past four games. Jones only hit the over on this projected number twice in the last nine games.
I’m banking on Jones making a light offensive impact as Purdue’s third-scoring option. He’ll take the third- or fourth-most shots, so I only see the over hitting if Jones catches fire from deep.
Jones is a solid shooter, connecting on 35% of his shots from 3, but he’s not on the level of Braden Smith or Fletcher Loyer. It’s not a sure thing that Jones drills the shots even if they’re open.
Any offense from him is a complete bonus.
Pick: Lance Jones Under 11.5 Points (-115)
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[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Alabama vs. UConn”][/subheader]
[gameheader haspick=”false” league=”ncaab” awaylogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2021/12/Alabama-alternate-logo-100-100.png” awayname=”Alabama Crimson Tide” awayslug=”alabama-crimson-tide” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaab/100/uconn.png” homename=”Connecticut Huskies” homeslug=”connecticut-huskies” date=”Saturday, April 6″ time=”8:49 p.m. ET” network=”TBS”][/gameheader]
[subheader text=”Rylan Griffen” subtext=”Over 11.5 Points (+110)” logo1url=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2021/12/Alabama-alternate-logo-100-100.png” trailinglogourl=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/477013_DraftKings@1x.png” trailinglink=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/online-sports-betting/reviews/draftkings” trailinglinkfollow=”false”][/subheader]
If Alabama is known for one thing under head coach Nate Oats, it’s the team’s advocacy for shooting an unlimited number of 3s. Oats’ modern approach to coaching offense results in posting the 16th-highest percentage of field goals from 3 (46%).
For this final prop, I’m aiming for Rylan Griffen to go over his 11.5 projected point total, which he’s accomplished in the past three games. Griffen averages 11.2 points this season on 39.1% shooting from 3.
He’s the second-best pure shooter on the roster, and Latrell Wrightsell Jr. should return to the lineup following a two-game hiatus due to a head injury.
Alabama’s path to pulling off the upset is hitting a ton 3s. That has a much better chance of happening if Griffen finds his footing and connects on three or four 3s. Sure that’s easier said than done, but Griffen’s recent history suggests the 11.5-point marker is a little light.
I love Griffen to hit the cover against this UConn defense.
Pick: Rylan Griffen Over 11.5 Points (+110)
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