ncaa-tournament-player-props-over-under-picks-3-20-2025

NCAA Tournament Player Props: Data-Driven Over/Under Picks Thursday

As we dive into Thursday’s thrilling Round of 64 in the NCAA Tournament, there’s more to consider than just bracket strategies, spreads, and totals. How about a bunch of player prop mismatches courtesy of our experts?

Individual player props are becoming an increasingly popular way to leverage your betting picks, and this year, we’ve got some great Round of 64 predictions to consider, spearheaded by our elite predictive analyst Nick Giffen.

For Thursday, we’re dialed into three player props picks across three separate games, offering huge edges on point totals and rebounds.

Get access to standout over/under prop picks for tonight’s Round of 64 games, which tip off at 6:50 PM ET.


NCAA Tournament Player Props: Data-Driven Over/Under Picks Thursday

The best Action PRO props Thursday night are in Wofford vs. Tennessee, Arkansas vs. Kansas and UNC Wilmington vs. Texas Tech.

Using our data, the sharp way to bet the Razorbacks vs. Jayhawks in the first round of the NCAA Tournament is under the total of 146.5.

First up is the matchup between Wofford and Tennessee. Kyler Filewich from Wofford is a key player to watch. Based on our projections, Filewich is expected to exceed his rebound line of 6.5, with a forecasted 8.8 rebounds. This presents a competitive 21.9% betting edge, making this an A-grade pick. Bettors can snag the best odds on over the total at Caesars.

PRO Props Prediction: Kyler Filewich Over 6.5 Rebounds


Our second pick stems from the Arkansas vs. Kansas game. Guard Johnell Davis faces a tough test against Kansas’ defense. PRO Projections show him scoring under 14.5 points, with our expected outcome being just 10.7 points. The best price on under can be found at FanDuel.

PRO Props Prediction: Johnell Davis Under 14.5 Points


Lastly, let’s look at the battle between UNC Wilmington and Texas Tech. Kerwin Walton of Texas Tech has a points line set at 7.5. Our projections suggest he will score around 5.7 points – precisely his season average. It’s a 24.5% edge with the best odds at Caesars.

PRO Props Prediction: Kerwin Walton Under 7.5 Points

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Our PRO signals flag far more great picks than our staff could author each day — that’s where Action AI comes in. Using generative AI, signals that hit a high grade threshold are written up into articles that are then vetted and edited by a human to help us get you all the sharp action. Read more about how it works here.

 


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