A couple over/under picks for Friday in the NCAA Tournament are taking sharp, market-moving bets.
In the afternoon window, the Colorado State Rams face off against the Memphis Tigers on March 21, 2025, at 2 p.m. ET. The Rams, with a 25-9 record this season, face the AAC Tournament winners, who boast a 29-5 record. Bet Labs’ big bet tracker shows clear odds movement ahead of the tight-lined tilt, particularly the combined total points.
Meanwhile, in the late window, the Xavier Musketeers draw the Illinois Fighting Illini at 9:45 p.m. ET. This Round of 64 game features two teams with explosive potential, especially after Xavier’s high-scoring win over Texas in the First Four.
Head coach Sean Miller will rely on Xavier’s 3-point prowess, where they boast a top-10 national mark, making better than 39% of their shots from beyond the arc. On the other side, Brad Underwood leads Illinois, a team ranked 15th in Pace and capable of matching Xavier’s offensive firepower. Coming into this tournament, Xavier holds a 22-11 record, going 19-14 against the spread, while Illinois is 21-12 with a 16-16-1 ATS performance. Notably, Illinois played to a 20-13 clip on the over/under this season, contrasting with Xavier’s even 16-16 O/U mark.
Let’s check out two notable over/under picks Friday attracting action from respected college basketball bettors.
NCAA Tournament Over/Under Picks: 2 Sharp Predictions Friday
The Colorado State vs. Memphis total is on its way down after a steam move on under 147.5.
Influential money poured in on the Rams vs. Tigers under the total early Thursday evening, sending the number on the move. Bet Labs also reveals Colorado State attracting money too, which is correlated — the Rams play at a much slower pace than the Tigers,
Sharp-Action Alert: Colorado State vs. Memphis Under
Meanwhile, we could be in for a track meet when No. 6 Illinois takes on No. 11 Xavier. The number’s 160.5 and may be climbing even higher. Illinois went 20-13 to the over this season; and considering Xavier’s 3-point grades, perhaps that was the recipe for the steam move we logged on over 159.5.
Be sure to shop our NCAAB odds page for the best price on totals, as odds fluctuate across a high-variance game.
Sharp-Action Alert: Xavier vs. Illinois Over
_InlineAdBlock
Our PRO signals flag far more great picks than our staff could author each day — that’s where Action AI comes in. Using generative AI, signals that hit a high grade threshold are written up into articles that are then vetted and edited by a human to help us get you all the sharp action. Read more about how it works here.