And then there were 16.
After a fun first four days of March Madness, one-quarter of the field has moved onto the second weekend. I have run my numbers and updated my data to give bettors my percentages for how likely it is that each remaining team will play into the third weekend.
We have two remaining No. 1 seeds that are the favorites to advance in their region. In the East, No. 4 Tennessee is a slight favorite over No. 3 Kansas State. No. 2 UCLA is the favorite with Kansas out of the picture in the West.
I’ve published my projected spread and total for all eight Sweet 16 games. There’s one that I have a 1.5-point difference in the spread compared to where it sits at bet365 right now.
Below, you can find my projections for how likely it is that each remaining team will win its Sweet 16 game, as well as potentially move onto Houston for the Final Four.
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