Montana State vs. Arizona Odds, Prediction
| Montana State Odds | +21.5 (-114) |
| Arizona Odds | -21.5 (-106) |
| Over/Under | 159.5 |
| Date | Tuesday, Dec. 20 |
| Time | 8:30 p.m. ET |
| Channel | ESPN+ |
*Odds via FanDuel as of Tuesday morning
Montana State vs. Arizona fits a 58% effective, 13% ROI betting algorithm that targets games with a top 15 team playing.
The betting algorithm fits only about 25 college basketball games per season. Besides the top 15 team parameters, there are five other metrics that the algorithm considers to pick a game.
Among them include previous game margins, ATS records and more.
The algorithm has gone 242-173-7 since 2005. That’s, as aforementioned, a 13% return on investment over a lengthy timeframe.
$500 per game bettors would be up roughly $27,500 if they bet on every game that has fit this system.
We don’t recommend using these algorithms as an alternative to investing — variance is much less forgiving in sports gambling compared to the financial markets — but similar principles apply in regard to profits over a long time horizon.
Montana State vs. Arizona 58% Effective, 13% ROI Betting System
The betting system targets top 15 teams at home that have done well against the spread.
The team needs to have just won its last home game by at least five points.
This system also involves only non-conference, regular-season games.
All of those parameters fit No. 5 Arizona’s spread on Tuesday night. They won their last game by five against No. 8 Tennessee and have an ATS record above 75% so far this season.
Home teams of these pedigrees have covered their spreads – even at wildly inflated numbers – 58% of the time since the Bush administration.
The best price on the market as of Tuesday afternoon is with PointsBet at -21 (-110).
Do keep in mind that betting systems inherently work best when you wager on every single game that fits the algorithm. Over the long run, they’ve proven themselves. In the short term, variance is a constraint.
So, make sure to follow up and bet on this system every time it lights up for the rest of the season.
PRO Pick: Arizona -21 or better (-110)