The Mississippi State Bulldogs take on the Missouri Tigers in Nashville, Tenn. Tip-off is set for 7 p.m. ET on SEC Network.
Missouri is favored by -3.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -167. The total is set at 156.5 points.
Here are my Mississippi State vs. Missouri predictions and college basketball picks for March 13, 2025.
Mississippi State vs Missouri Prediction
My Pick: Over 155.5
My Mississippi State vs Missouri best bet is on both teams to go over the total, with the best odds currently available at FanDuel. For all of your college basketball bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NCAAB odds page.
Mississippi State vs Missouri Odds
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- Mississippi State vs Missouri spread: Missouri -3.5 (-105), Mississippi State +3.5 (-115)
- Mississippi State vs Missouri over/under: 156.5 (-112o / -108u)
- Mississippi State vs Missouri moneyline: Mississippi State +136, Missouri -162
- Mississippi State vs Missouri best bet: Over 155.5
Spread
I’m not betting the spread in this ACC Tournament game.
Moneyline
Like the spread, I’m staying away from the moneyline and not taking a side.
Over/Under
My best bet for Thursday’s game is for both teams to go over the total.
My Pick: Over 155.5
Missouri vs Mississippi State Betting Trends
[bettingtrends gameid=”252531″ date=”20250313″][/bettingtrends]
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Mississippi State vs Missouri College Basketball Betting Preview
The over has hit in seven straight Missouri games that have produced combined scores of 174, 180, 190, 172, 177, 208 and 161 points.
Going back further, the over is on a 10-2 run for the Tigers, with those three additional overs netting combined scores of 166, 148 and 158 points.
Now, the 148 points would’ve been an under with tonight’s total, and it happened to come at Mississippi State in Mizzou’s 88-61 win. But that was a game in which the Bulldogs made merely 36% of their field-goal attempts, 31% of their treys and 65% of their free throws.
The over has cashed in six straight MSU games and is on a 10-2 roll in its last 12 contests. The Bulldogs’ last six combined scores have been 153, 185, 169, 150, 184 and 180 points.
Yes, two of those — 153 and 150 — would’ve gone under tonight’s total, but both of those games were against LSU when the Bayou Bengals were playing without a pair of key players who were injured.
Before scoring 91 points yesterday against LSU, Mississippi State was averaging 79.6 points per game. The Bulldogs rank 252nd out of 364 Division-1 teams in scoring defense (74.2 PPG), and they’re ranked 340th at defending the 3-point line (36.7%).
Missouri comes in at eighth in the nation in scoring (84.6 PPG), 18th in field-goal percentage (48.7%) and 34th in 3-point accuracy (37.3%).
On the flip side, the Tigers rank 217th in scoring defense (73.2 PPG), 196th in field-goal percentage allowed (44.1%) and 200th at defending the 3-point line (33.8%).
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