The Mississippi State Bulldogs take on the Auburn Tigers in Auburn, AL. Tip-off is set for 7 p.m. ET on SEC Network.
Auburn is favored by 7.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -340. The total is set at 149 points.
Here are my Mississippi State vs. Auburn predictions and college basketball picks for January 14, 2025.
Mississippi State vs Auburn Odds
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- Mississippi State vs Auburn spread: Auburn -7.5
- Mississippi State vs Auburn over/under: 149 points
- Mississippi State vs Auburn moneyline: Auburn -340, Mississippi State +270
- Mississippi State vs Auburn best bet: Under 152 (Play to 150)
My Mississippi State vs Auburn best bet is on the under, with the best odds currently available at Caesars. For all of your college basketball bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NCAAB odds page.
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Mississippi State vs Auburn College Basketball Betting Preview
The headline here is that Johni Broome is dealing with an ankle injury. The word out of The Plains is that Broome will avoid the knife, but he could be sidelined for weeks with a grade-two sprain.
Chris Jans’ team has continually upped its game when facing elite competition. The advanced stat community is obsessed with this team, which tracks with Jans’ commitment and investment in the analytics wing of his coaching staff.
The number crunching has paid off, as the Bulldogs have posted a 6-1 record straight up and a 5-2 mark ATS against KenPom top-75 opponents.
But rather than the spread, I’ll target the total.
State would be wise to slow things down against the Tigers. The loss of Broome is taking a host of high-percentage shots away from the Tigers, which means Bruce Pearl will look to run a bit more than usual and rely on turnovers to spur transition buckets.
State rarely turns the ball over (11.2% of possessions, 2nd) and plays significantly better in half-court dominated games.
Jans will live up to his nickname as “The Dentist” and make this a slow, grueling and uncomfortable experience for Auburn in its first game without its superstar.
Pick: Under 152 (Play to 150)
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