miami-vs-uconn-odds-pick-final-four-betting-prediction-saturday-april-1

Final Four Betting Prediction | Miami vs. UConn Odds, Pick

Miami vs. UConn Final Four Odds, Prediction

Miami Odds +5.5
UConn Odds -5.5
Over/Under 149.5 (-105/-115)
Date Saturday, April 1
Time 8:49 p.m. ET
How to Watch CBS
Odds via BetMGM as of Saturday

UConn are far-and-away the betting favorites to win the national championship after every other top-four seed has fallen before the Final Four.

But first, the Huskies need to skirt past the plucky Miami Hurricanes and their fifth-best offense across college basketball.

Miami is the worst team remaining in the tournament, according to KenPom, and the betting odds for Miami vs. UConn have reflected the advanced metrics.

The Huskies are about -250 betting favorites across the landscape and -130 favorites to win the NCAA Tournament.

But is there value on any of lines for a game with so much interest? For contests like this, the market is typically at equilibrium.

Well, for Miami vs. UConn, the Action Network has a proprietary betting system that has yielded a 6% return on investment since 2005.

The betting system has gone 985-807-18 (55% win rate) over that timeframe. A $100 per game bettor would be up $10,318.

Read further to glean the philosophy behind the betting system and how to apply it to Miami vs. UConn on Saturday night.

Miami vs. UConn College Basketball Odds, Prediction

The Action Network’s proprietary betting system utilizes three factors to select an under that fits the parameters of the long-standing system.

  • The game needs to occur on a neutral court
  • The under needs to have fewer than 50% of the money on it
  • The total needs to be between 145 and 180

This system’s philosophy is to fade the public on one of the things they love the most — overs.

A range is used in order to temper variance, and when these sorts of teams compete on a neutral court, the results are proven.

For Saturday night, all these factors apply to the under at a market-best price of under 149.5 (-110) at PointsBet.

Do keep in mind that this betting system works best when you use the same unit sizing for as many games as possible that fit the system, over a long sample size.

That’s the best way to maximize its 6% ROI since 2005.

Pick: Under 149.5 (-110)

_InlineAdBlock


Posted

in

by