Is the best bet of the night the last?
In the late window for college basketball on Thursday, the UNLV Rebels are set to take on the Utah State Aggies in the quarterfinals of the Mountain West Conference Tournament, and Action PRO models are humming with a premium selection on the over/under.
UNLV, entering as the sixth seed, holds an 18-14 record, but has struggled against the spread, ending the season 13-18-1. Meanwhile, third-seeded Utah State boasts a robust 25-6 record and is an even 15-15-0 against the spread.
Across both regular-season meetings, one went over, the other under. Here’s PRO models’ UNLV vs Utah State prediction and pick for tonight’s combined point total.
College Basketball Odds, Picks Tonight: UNLV vs Utah State Over/Under
- UNLV vs. Utah State spread: Utah State -7.5
- UNLV vs. Utah State over/under: 141.5
Projections show minimal value on UNLV +7.5 against the spread. Our PRO spread is more like UNLV +6.3.
The real value lies in the over/under. Our PRO Projections suggest betting the over at 141.5 points. Data-driven NCAAB power ratings anticipate a total closer to 145.6, granting the over a B grade on our scale.
Though it might not seem like the biggest edge on paper, bettors can get over 141.5 at a price of -105. This alone bumps the grade up from a B to a B+
The consensus over/under is 149.5, but the number’s already climbing up to 150.5. Be sure to shop our NCAAB odds page for the best number available.
PRO Projections Pick: UNLV vs. Utah State Over
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Our PRO signals flag far more great picks than our staff could author each day — that’s where Action AI comes in. Using generative AI, signals that hit a high grade threshold are written up into articles that are then vetted and edited by a human to help us get you all the sharp action. Read more about how it works here.