Thursday’s college basketball odds includes Texas State taking on Louisiana at 4 p.m. ET (ESPN+).
Weekday college hoops don’t attract much action from recreational bettors, and with the San Antonio Spurs taking on the Indiana Pacers at 2 p.m. ET in Paris, professional basketball will drive the lion’s share of Thursday afternoon’s handle.
But, and there’s always a but, the wiseguys are all over today’s Texas State vs. Louisiana game, lighting up one college basketball pick according to Action PRO’s key value indicators.
Let’s expand upon this and illuminate the college basketball pick that professionals are betting for Thursday’s Texas State vs. Louisiana matinee.
College Basketball Odds, Sharpest Pick for Texas State vs. Louisiana
*Odds as of Thursday morning
This not only appears to be a savvy bet, but it’s a fun one as well.
Let me explain.
When sharps bet college basketball totals, it is often on unders.
Why? Because recreational bettors overwhelmingly prefer to root for high-scoring, exciting matchups and therefore gravitate toward overs.
Sportsbooks fully understand this behavior and often react by artificially moving totals a bit higher than they should be, knowing the public will essentially bet the over no matter the number.
This then creates added value on the under.
However, when it comes to Texas State vs. Louisiana, the smart money is actually piling up on the over.
That’s right, this total opened at 142.5 before wiseguys popped the over, steaming it up to the current consensus of 144.5.
Interestingly, FanDuel is a full point lower than the market consensus, so grab 143.5 if playing the over on Thursday afternoon.
PRO Pick: Over 143.5 (-110) — FanDuel
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