There are two historically profitable NBA betting algorithms that target Wizards vs. Grizzlies on Sunday night.
The algorithm has made selections since 2005. The one targeting one side of the moneyline has a 10% return on investment over the last 17 years. An algorithm on the spread has returned 7% on investment over the same timeframe.
Games and teams are selected via a specific set of parameters that involve time of season, home records and matchups.
These parameters are proprietary to the Action Network. And each of those parameters fits Wizards vs. Grizzlies.
The algorithm selection on the spread has gone 448-375-17 (55%) since 2005, returning about $5,200 for $100 per game bettors.
And the moneyline algorithm has returned $100 per game bettors $8,000 in profit if you tailed every single pick for the last 17 years.
We don’t recommend using this betting algorithm as an alternative to investing — variance is much less forgiving in sports gambling compared to the financial markets — but similar principles apply in regard to profits over a long time horizon.
Wizards vs. Grizzlies Predictions
The betting algorithm at play targets road underdogs early in the season, where “early in the season” constitutes the first 10 games of the away team’s year.
The opposing home team also needs to have a winning record.
Since 2005, road underdogs that play opponents under these parameters win an aforementioned 55% of the time. That’s an incredibly lengthy sample size.
For Sunday night, the move is to wager on the Wizards, according to these models.
The best market prices are with BetRivers (+340) and with PointsBet at +9.5 (-107).
Do keep in mind that this historically profitable algorithm applies to about 50 NBA games per year. This might be an opportunity to cash in, but keep in mind that this is a long-term investment.
The best way to make money through this algorithm is to bet on every game that fits these parameters for the rest of the year.
We’ll continue to write about them.