These two NBA games have inefficient lines, according to the Action Network’s proprietary data.
Warriors vs. Timberwolves and Trail Blazers vs. Nets both tip off on Sunday afternoon. The former game starts at 3 p.m. ET. The latter begins at 3:30 p.m. ET.
The Action Network has detected troves of wise guys targeting one line in each of the aforementioned games.
These games will generally be overlooked on a Sunday filled with sports saturation — especially for two relatively inconsequential regular season NBA games. It’s NFL Sunday and Spain vs. Germany will be in its second half when these games tip off.
But these types of unpopular markets tend to be more inefficient than normal. Consequently, there are more instances where the line isn’t set at a fair price.
Tailing sharp bettors over the long run is assured to make you a profit. Sports betting’s main short-term constraint, though, is variance. Make sure you’re using the same unit sizing every time you tail smart money.
Sharp Picks for Warriors vs. Timberwolves, Trail Blazers vs. Nets
Odds and betting data updated as of 9 a.m. ET.
Warriors vs. Timberwolves
The sharps are riding with the home underdog on this one, even as it continues to deteriorate in value.
The Timberwolves had opened as -1 favorites but retail bettors have been all over the Warriors due to pedigree and popularity. Now, with the Timberwolves at a market-best price of +110 at SuperBook, the sharps have started to pounce.
Trail Blazers vs. Nets
Big moneyed bettors love the under for this matchup. Typically, the retail bettors love the over. Because who likes watching a game and rooting solely for defense?
As a result, though, there tend to be market inefficiencies on the under.
While only 30% of the retail bettors are on the under for this matchup, about 89% of the money is.
That 59% discrepancy indicates a massive amount of big moneyed bettors are putting large sums of money on the under.
The best price on the market is with SuperBook at under 223 points with a -110 juice.
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