There are three games on the NBA docket for Tuesday in which The Action Network’s betting model disagrees with the market.
Our models are player-level, so they factor in all injuries and COVID-related absences across the league that have made handicapping NBA games so tricky over the past several weeks.
Here are the three underdogs our models like for Tuesday night.
NBA Tuesday Model Projection Edges
Odds and betting data last updated at 3:45 p.m. ET on Tuesday.
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New Orleans Pelicans vs. Philadelphia 76ers
7 p.m. ET
Our model indicates that the Pelicans should be just 8.4-point underdogs for this matchup. However, the consensus price on the market is at New Orleans +11. That’s a roughly 6% betting edge, good for a B grade overall.
The models have already factored in the fact that Brandon Ingram and Josh Hart will be absent for New Orleans.
Meanwhile, the 76ers will be without Seth Curry and Danny Green.
Model Projection Pick: Pelicans +11 (consensus).
San Antonio Spurs vs. Houston Rockets
7:30 p.m. ET
The Action Network’s NBA models think the Rockets should be just 2.3-point underdogs here.
The best market price puts the Rockets at +5.5 dogs. That’s an over 7% edge, good for an A- grade from our models.
Neither team has any major injuries of note.
Model Projection Pick: Rockets +5.5 (FanDuel, BetMGM)
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Sacramento Kings vs. Boston Celtics
7 p.m. ET
The Action Network’s models say the Kings should be just 6.1-point underdogs against the Celtics. The best price in the market has the Kings at +9.5. That includes at FanDuel, BetMGM and others.
That’s a roughly 7% edge, good for a B+ grade from our models.
This is contingent on De’Aaron Fox suiting up for Sacramento, though. He’s questionable with an ankle injury.
The Celtics have no major injuries of note.
Model Projection Pick: Kings +9.5 (FanDuel, BetMGM)