Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Odds, Pick | NBA Betting Prediction (Sunday, April 16)

Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Denver Nuggets Odds

The Timberwolves give up lead after lead, so it’s no shock to see Minnesota as hefty +275 favorites across the marketplace on Sunday afternoon.

The Nuggets are rested, have the pedigree and look poised to roll over a Timberwolves team that ranks poorly across all advanced metrics among playoff teams.

But typically, these types of markets are incredibly efficient, the ones with millions of bettors across the world’s myriad sportsbooks.

Yet, the Action Network’s proprietary betting models indicate value on one particular line for tonight’s matchup.

The algorithms consider quantitative and qualitative data regarding every aspect of this game to produce fair value lines for every associated mainline.

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets NBA Odds, Prediction

The Action Network’s proprietary betting algorithms indicate the Timberwolves should be only +6.2 underdogs tonight.

That’s relative to a market-wide price of about +8.

At a market-best price of Timberwolves +8.5 (-115) at BetMGM, the models assign that pick a roughly 4% betting edge.

That means you’ll receive a 4% discount from the fair-value price by betting on Minnesota at +8.5.

Another way to think about it: you’re accumulating 4% of positive expected value the second after you make that pick, according to our models.

Do keep in mind that our algorithms work best when you use the same unit sizing for as many games as possible, over a long sample size.

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