Pelicans vs. Knicks Odds
| Pelicans Odds | +4 |
| Wizards Odds | -4 |
| Over/Under | 210 |
| Time | 7:35 p.m. ET |
| TV | NBA League Pass |
| Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute NBA odds here. | |
This game between the Pelicans and Knicks has a 63% profitable against-the-spread (ATS) PRO Betting System.
The historically fruitful system dates back to 2005. If you had wagered $100 on the roughly 10 NBA games per year that have fit the algorithm since 2005, you’d be up $3,120, or about $200 per year.
That’s a solid 63% win rate over a long sample size. For reference, a success rate of 52.4% is enough to turn a profit.
The system has a historical 23% return on investment (ROI). Of course, anything above 0% is an ROI win. Any ROI above 8% beats the stock market’s average annual return.
Read further to see what the system is, the theory behind it and how to incorporate it for tonight’s game.
New Orleans Pelicans vs. New York Knicks 63% Profitable Betting System Pick
This betting algorithm targets small road underdogs coming off of an ATS loss. The algorithm also fades the public when they ride small home favorites that are coming off of an against-the-spread win.
Largely, teams coming off of ATS losses are undervalued in the market. And retail bettors love teams coming off of wins, which inflates their value.
Retail bettors are hammering the Knicks for this contest and have moved the line from its open at Knicks -2.5 all the way to Knicks -4.
That’s one key for this algorithm — line movement in favor of the road underdog in question. In this case, it’s the Pelicans at +4.
Another parameter requires the road team — in this case, the Pelicans — to have been underdog ATS losers in their previous game. New Orleans was a +5.5 underdog against Boston on Monday but lost by 12 points.
The third parameter requires the home team — the Knicks — to have covered their previous game. New York were +2.5 underdogs against Minnesota and lost by two points.
This historically profitable algorithm only fulfills 9.6 NBA games per year. This might be an opportunity to cash in — but keep in mind that this is a long-term investment.
Make sure to follow through on this betting system as the season continues.
Betting System Pick: Pelicans +4 or better.
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