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Suns vs. Rockets, Knicks vs. Cavs NBA Predictions: The 11% ROI Picks for 3 Sunday NBA Games

Three Sunday night NBA games fit a betting algorithm with data tracing back to 2005.

This algorithm has returned a 11% on investment for the last 17 years. The specific parameters of this algorithm only apply to roughly 45 NBA games per year — including these three contests.

  • Houston Rockets vs. Phoenix Suns (9 p.m. ET)
  • New York Knicks vs. Cleveland Cavaliers (6 p.m. ET)
  • Washington Wizards vs. Boston Celtics (6 p.m. ET)

If you had bet $100 on each game that has fit the betting trend since 2005, you’d be up about $10,000. That’s roughly $600 per year.

And this is across a substantial sample size: 800 or so games over the past 17 seasons.

We don’t recommend using this betting algorithm as an alternative to investing — variance is a much sturdier constraint in sports gambling compared to the financial markets — but similar principles apply in regard to gains over a long time horizon.

For instance, this system has a 12% annual return on investment. The S&P 500 — the approximate value of the American stock market — has risen an average of 8% over that same timeframe.

11% ROI Moneyline Pick


The betting algorithm at play targets road underdogs early in the season, where “early in the season” constitutes the first 10 games of the away team’s year.

The opposing home team also needs to have a winning record.

Since 2005, road underdogs that play opponents under these parameters win only 31% of the time on the moneyline. But, because they’re underdogs and bets on their moneyline return more value, bettors have returned 11% on investment since 2005.

For Sunday night, each of the road clubs and their moneylines are the way to go.

Here are the best lines as of Sunday afternoon.

(Click the link above to put that pick directly into your FanDuel quickslip!)

Do keep in mind that this historically profitable algorithm applies to about 50 NBA games per year. This might be an opportunity to cash in, but keep in mind that this is a long-term investment.

The best way to make money through this algorithm is to bet on every game that fits these parameters for the rest of the year.

You’ll lose 69% of bets along the way, on average. But again, you’re expected roughly 11 cents in return for every $1 wagered.


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