Suns vs. Nuggets Odds
| Suns Odds | +4 |
| Nuggets Odds | -4 |
| Over/Under | 229 |
| Date | Monday, May 1 |
| Time | 10 p.m. ET |
| How to Watch | TNT |
| Odds via FanDuel as of Monday | |
The Nuggets were able to stop the Suns’ star-studded offense in Game 1 en route to a dominant win.
Selling out to cover every Devin Booker and Kevin Durant pick and roll helped. As did several of the Nuggets’ undersized wings, who faced up against DeAndre Ayton admirably.
And then came playoff Jamal Murray, who reinforced his position as one of the best guards in the league. Despite an off game by Nikola Jokic — by his standards — the Nuggets dominated the game on the back of Murray’s offensive exploits.
The Suns don’t have an answer for Murray defensively. Josh Okogie or Torrey Craig may be their best options, but the two are liabilities offensively. Booker can’t be bothered with 40 minutes of defense against a high volume scorer like Murray — it’ll affect Booker on the offensive end, and he’ll risk foul trouble. And Chris Paul is washed.
With these factors in mind, sharp and big moneyed bettors prefer one side of the spread and moneyline tonight. The Action Network’s proprietary tracking data pulls betting volume from all the major American sportsbooks.
Suns vs. Nuggets NBA Odds, Prediction
The Action Network’s proprietary tracking data indicate sharp and big moneyed bettors all over the Suns’ spread and moneyline — contrary to this editor’s assessments.
For the moneyline, roughly 42% of the overall bets are on the Suns to win, while about 90% of the money is. That 48% discrepancy says a large swath of massive wagers have been placed on the Suns’ ML.
By that same ilk, the Suns’ spread at a market-best price of +4 at FanDuel has a 9% discrepancy between bets and money.
On account of that sharp action, those lines have fallen steadily since open. The Suns had been +5 underdogs before dipping to their current mark.
And on the moneyline, the Suns had been as high as +165 before settling at their current price of +148.
Do keep in mind that tailing sharp bettors utilizing our tracking data works best when you use the same unit sizing across all wagers over a lengthy sample size. In addition, the majority of these big moneyed bets were placed closer to open, when returns were higher.
PRO Pick: Suns +148 |
PRO Pick: Suns +4 (-110) |
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