There are only two games on the NBA docket Sunday due to the Super Bowl.
Both of games tip off hours before the start of the Super Bowl. And The Action Network’s proprietary models have indicated an edge in each of these games.
Our models are player-level, so they factor in all injuries and COVID-related absences across the league that have made handicapping NBA games so tricky over the past month and a half.
Read further to see what those models think you should do for these games.
NBA Model Projection Edges
Odds and betting data last updated at 12 p.m. ET on Sunday.
_PromoID=[12935, 12933, 12932, 12940]
Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Indiana Pacers
2 p.m. ET
Our model indicates the Pacers should be just 4-point underdogs for this matchup. However, the market-best price is at Pacers +6. That’s a roughly 4.5% betting edge, good for a B- grade overall from our models.
Our projections indicate that a B grade or above is necessary to tail our picks without any further thesis.
Anthony Edwards is questionable for this game for Minnesota. Meanwhile, leading scorer Malcolm Brogdon is also questionable for Indiana.
Model Projection Pick: Pacers +6 or better
_PromoID=[5113, 5114, 10622]
Atlanta Hawks vs. Boston Celtics
3 p.m. ET
The Action Network’s NBA models think the Hawks should be just 5.7-point underdogs. Instead, they’re 7.5-point underdogs across the market.
That’s a roughly 4% edge, good for a B- grade from our models.
John Collins is shut down through the All-Star break for the Hawks. Trae Young is also probable with a right hip problem.
There are no major injuries of note for the Celtics.
Model Projection Pick: Hawks +7.5 or better
