Two crucial Game 4 showdowns will be played Sunday in the Western Conference, though the circumstances for each are far different.
For the Golden State Warriors, the task will be leaving Denver with a ticket to the second round of the playoffs, while Nuggets are simply hoping to stay alive to extend the season of presumptive MVP Nikola Jokic.
In New Orleans, there’s a very real chance that the Pelicans can make it back to Phoenix with the series evened up, but this contest almost serves as a must win for the hosts.
That said, here is how sharp bettors are trying to take advantage of the situation.
Sunday NBA PRO Report
Odds and data are as of 12:30 p.m. ET on Sunday.
Warriors vs. Nuggets
3:30 p.m. ET
The Warriors have controlled this series from the jump, and it’s largely thanks to the offensive prowess of players like Stephen Curry and Jordan Poole.
Despite this, sharp bettors are looking to play the other side of the total in this game, expecting fewer points than we’ve seen in games past.
Though just 21% of the betting tickets have been placed on the over, 77% of the money is on that side, indicating that the bigger wagers have been placed on the under.
Sharp Action: Under 225
Suns vs. Pelicans
9:30 p.m. ET
With Devin Booker sidelined for another contest, sharps have been absolutely slamming the under to a tune of over 85% of the smart money.
Overall, just 32% of the tickets are on the under, but this line has moved over two points in the direction of the under as oddsmakers respect the money that has come in on that side.
In a classic case of sharps versus squares, sharps have elected to fade the public and ride with the under.
Sharp Action: Under 215
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