Pistons vs. Wizards Odds
Pistons Odds | +13 |
Wizards Odds | -13 |
Over/Under | 222.5 |
Date | Tuesday, March 14 |
Time | 7 p.m. ET |
How to Watch | NBA League Pass |
Odds via FanDuel as of Tuesday |
Yes, you read that correctly: A team sitting 11th in the Eastern Conference is a 13-point favorite tonight.
And yes, this is probably the least exciting game on the basketball docket, especially with the First Four of the NCAA Tournament.
But with these types of games, you’ll glean the most value. Games of little to no magnitude don’t typically have a lot of bettors engaged, which means the markets are more prone to inefficiency.
Action Network’s proprietary betting algorithm indicates exactly that: One side of the spread for Pistons vs. Wizards isn’t priced correctly.
Our betting algorithm considers a litany of datasets and parameters in order to come up with a fair-moneyed spread for every single game on the NBA docket.
It factors in injuries, matchups, conditioning, coaching and more.
Pistons vs. Wizards NBA Odds, Prediction
The Pistons would bode far better on the spread had Bojan Bogdanovic been starting for them tonight. With their second-leading scorer Jaden Ivey day-to-day too — and Cade Cunningham out for the year — the Pistons are in danger of being without their three best players tonight.
But the markets have gone too far in the other direction, according to our proprietary betting algorithms. Even with those factors in mind, the Pistons should be priced closer to +9.3.
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That means with FanDuel’s market-best clip of Pistons +13 (-110), you’re getting a solid 6% in betting edge. Effectively, you’ll be receiving a 6% discount from the fair-value price.
Another way to think about it: You’re accumulating 6% in expected value by making that pick.
Pick: Pistons +13 (-110) |