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NBA Betting Odds, Pick: Projections Spot Big Value on Pacers vs. Warriors Spread

Indiana Pacers vs. Golden State Warriors Odds

Pacers Odds +11.5
Warriors Odds -11.5
Over/Under 217.5
Date Thursday, Jan. 20
Time 10 p.m. ET
TV TNT

*Odds as of Thursday afternoon

All three games on Thursday’s NBA slate are loaded with value — at least according to our tools.

The Pelicans-Knicks tilt fits a 63%-winning system in our betting database, while sharp bettors are hitting the Mavericks-Suns clash.

Thursday’s Pacers-Warriors matchup, meanwhile, is the late-night game. And our projections clearly disagree with the current market spread.

Is Golden State in a solid spot with Indiana on the second of a back-to-back, or is the public underrating the road side?

Here’s the big edge to close out the evening.

Pacers-Warriors PRO Pick

When we run our PRO numbers, we recommend bettors take at least a Grade of B — or a 3.5% edge — before considering a wager based solely on projections.

Our PRO Report makes Indiana just +8 for Thursday’s game, which translates to a 7.6% edge and A- grade. It’s well off the market number of +11 and absolutely in playable range.

The Pacers have flopped on the road (4-17 straight-up in last 21) but they’ve performed oddly well on zero days rest, covering 11 of the last 13 on the second night of a back-to-back.

Although Indiana’s 13 games under .500 entering Thursday, the franchise has played the fourth-toughest schedule to date.

It won’t be a popular pick; the Warriors are getting north of 80% of the tickets and 94% of the money at the time of writing.

However, projections have no problem endorsing the road team in a game our numbers believe should be lined in the single-digit range.

PRO Pick: Pacers +12

_PromoID=[72, 7927, 8020]


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