Thursday NBA Odds, Picks: Pacers vs. Grizzlies Betting Model Predictions (March 24)

Indiana Pacers vs. Memphis Grizzlies Odds

The Action Network’s proprietary betting models have detected value on one side of the spread and moneyline for this contest between the Pacers and Grizzlies on Thursday night.

Our models are player-level, so they factor in all the injuries and COVID-related absences that have made handicapping NBA games so fickle this season.

And while this game won’t get a lot of eyeballs, that’s good news for you, the reader.

Model edges on games with limited magnitude can provide you an advantage over the average bettor.

Read further to see what these picks are and the theory behind our model projections.

Pacers vs. Grizzlies PRO Prediction

Our model tabs the spread for this matchup at Pacers +9.1, but the consensus price on the market has the Pacers as 12.5-point underdogs.

That means there’s a roughly 6.4% betting edge, good for a ‘B+’ grade from our models.

Betting based solely on these model edges works best when they’re graded as a B or higher, but still make sure to make your own thesis before tailing this pick blindly.

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The moneyline provides a betting edge, too, according to our betting models. The Pacers should be just +488 underdogs, the projections say, but Indiana is listed as high as +650 at books like BetRivers.

The Pacers’ leading scorer Malcolm Brogdon missed last night’s game against the Sacramento Kings for rest but all signs point toward him suiting up tonight. Indiana is still missing the likes of Myles Turner, TJ McConnell and Chris Duarte.

Meanwhile, the Grizzlies may be missing Ja Morant for the third straight game due to a sore knee as he’s day-to-day. Memphis upped its record to 15-2 without Morant this season with a commanding win over the Brooklyn Nets last night.

The Grizzlies have no other major injuries of note.

Sharp Angle: Pacers +12.5 or better | Pacers +650 or better