Nuggets v. Mavericks Odds
| Nuggets Odds | +5.5 (-110) |
| Mavericks Odds | -5.5 (-110) |
| Over/Under | 208 |
| Time | 8 p.m. ET |
| TV | NBA League Pass |
Odds are via DraftKings as of Monday afternoon.
The Denver Nuggets travel to Dallas to take on the Mavericks while riding a five-game win streak.
The Nuggets have gone 4-1 against the spread over that stretch and won those games on average by about 12 points.
While Denver is below average on offense, they rank No. 2 in the NBA in defense, which should bode well against a Mavericks offense that ranks just 22nd in the NBA.
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The advanced metrics don’t really like the 8-4 Mavericks, but they still keep finding ways to win ball games.
That said, they don’t really have a marquee victory — every single team they’ve beaten is currently outside of the top eight in their conference.
The confluence of these factors mean there’s a betting edge for one of these teams during tonight’s 8 p.m. game.
See how The Action Network’s NBA PRO Report has tracked which edge is worth betting here.
Nuggets vs. Mavericks NBA Betting Prediction
Our NBA PRO Report says there is a heavy edge on the Nuggets to cover this game.
The Action Network’s projections give the Nuggets a +3.1 projected point spread. As of Monday afternoon, their spread is sitting at 5.5.
That represents a solid 6.3% edge. We’d normally suggest at least a 3.5% edge to bet a given spread.
This all, of course, jibes with the advanced metrics, which show that the Mavericks are far worse than their record indicates.
Still, The Action Network’s models show that the public is riding Dallas. About 69% of the total bets are on the Mavericks to win by at least 5.5 points.
The sharps disagree with those retail bettors and are rolling with the Nuggets at +5.5.
PRO Report Pick: Nuggets +5.5