Piling up our biggest edges in props, spreads and totals, Wizards vs. Warriors is the perfect launching pad for a same-game parlay Saturday night.
Utilizing PRO Projections, we crafted a compelling four-leg same-game parlay, offering a lucrative payout of +1100 at Caesars. This parlay focuses on spread and point totals, where we’ve identified key mismatches in player performance.
Tonight’s game tips off at 8:30 p.m. ET. Naturally, the Warriors are big favorites. And that’s exactly where we start the foundation for tonight’s parlay.
NBA SGP: Wizards vs. Warriors Picks, Parlay for 1/18
Though unpopular, projections recommend betting the Wizards to cover +13.5.
Our sophisticated data indicates the actual spread should be closer to 9.4, suggesting that oddsmakers may be underestimating the Wizards’ competitiveness in this matchup. With such a significant discrepancy in the spread, this pick stands as a strong foundation for our parlay.
Moving to player props, we turn our attention to Wizards center Jonas Valanciunas, who offers enticing value. Our data predicts the vet to exceed 9.5 points, projecting him at an impressive 11.68.
Another player projection worth noting is for the Warriors’ Trayce Jackson-Davis. Our models suggest he will score more than 11.5 points, with a projection of 12.42.
Completing our parlay is a player under bet on Warriors’ Moses Moody. Our projections indicate a modest scoring output of 7.09 points, which is considerably below the 8.5-point line set by Caesars. It’s a huge 20% edge over the market.
SGP Payout: +1100
- Wizards +13.5
- Jonas Valanciunas over 9.5 points
- Trayce Jackson-Davis over 11.5 points
- Moses Moody under 8.5 points
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Our PRO signals flag far more great picks than our staff could author each day — that’s where Action AI comes in. Using generative AI, signals that hit a high grade threshold are written up into articles that are then vetted and edited by a human to help us get you all the sharp action. Read more about how it works here.