We’re crafting a couple NBA SGP options for the 11/12 slate using an array of PRO insights.
For example, three player props stick out in the Mavericks vs. Warriors game, featuring picks on Luka Doncic, Draymond Green and more.
Secondly, expert NBA Projections reveal tons of value in the Heat vs. Pistons matchup.
The Mavericks SGP produces a +467 payout. The second parlay is a +671 play. Both are crafted using odds from Caesars.
NBA SGP, Parlay Picks for 11/12
Building a winning parlay requires big edges and data-driven insights, and that’s where PRO insights are essential. Our proprietary NBA data flagged a bunch of strong picks, and strong analysis from prop experts back them up.
Mavericks vs. Warriors SGP Tuesday (+467)
NBA Parlay Leg 1 — Luka Doncic Over/Under Points
The first of three projections edges is capitalizing on Luka Doncic’s point total.
Doncic’s over/under is 28.5 points tonight. Action PRO models have Doncic clearing this, pegging him for 33.1 points against the Warriors Tuesday.
NBA Parlay Leg 2 — Draymond Green Over/Under Points
Another point total over is Draymond Green’s, set at 6.5, with the over priced at -139.
Projections tab the veteran for 8.9 points, proving that he’s a strong leg for this parlay.
NBA Parlay Leg 3 — Trayce Jackson-Davis Under Over/Under Points
NBA expert Charlie Wright cited Golden State’s depth and Dallas’ bigs as to why Jackson-Davis may struggle on the scoresheet tonight. PRO Projections agree — Jackson-Davis’ point total is 6.5, but our numbers predict him for 5.2.
SGP Payout: +467
- Luka Doncic over 28.5 Points
- Draymond Green over 6.5 Points
- Trayce Jackson-Davis under 6.5 Points
Heat vs. Pistons SGP Tuesday (+671)
NBA Parlay Leg 1 — Haywood Highsmith Over/Under Points
Highsmith’s averaging 7.7 points per game, so his point total is right on par, at 7.5. However, projections submitted a point total for Highsmith closer to 5.4. It’s the second-strongest edge of any NBA player prop Tuesday.
NBA Parlay Leg 2 — Tim Hardaway Jr. Over/Under Rebounds
The third-best prop, meanwhile, is Tim Hardaway Jr. under 2.5 rebounds, at plus money.
Advanced NBA models project the veteran wing for fewer than two rebounds (1.9) vs. the Heat.
NBA Parlay Leg 3 — Simone Fontecchio Over/Under Points
Finally, Simone Fontecchio under 6.5 points is a solid look to round out the SGP. Action PRO Projections marked the small forward for just 4.7 points on the score sheet tonight.
SGP Payout: +671
- Haywood Highsmith under 7.5 Points
- Tim Hardaway Jr. under 2.5 Rebounds
- Simone Fontecchio under 6.5 Points
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