We have three NBA player props for this Friday, and our staff of basketball betting experts is focused on some key players who could be in line for noteworthy performances in tonight’s contests.
Read below for our NBA player prop picks for Friday, April 11.
NBA Props for Friday, April 11
- Brook Lopez Under 18.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists (-125)
- Nikola Jokic Over 30.5 Points (-120)
- Bobby Portis Over 12.5 Points (-115)
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[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Brook Lopez Under 18.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists (-125)” subtext=”Bucks vs. Pistons, 7:00 p.m. ET” center=”false” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nba/100/mil.png” link1=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/odds/milwaukee-bucks” link1follow=”true” logo2url=”” link2=”” link2follow=”true” trailinglogourl=”” trailinglink=”” trailinglinkfollow=”true”][/subheader]
Lopez had played 30+ minutes in 16 straight games until Tuesday. With Bobby Portis returning from suspension, Lopez saw his minutes go down to 28 against Minnesota. Last night against New Orleans, he played just 23 minutes. Lopez played just 5 minutes in the 4th quarter.
The lopsided score certainly contributed to it, but the floor is much lower now. Portis actually closed over Lopez in that game against the Timberwolves.
Lopez has played less than 30 minutes in 25 games and averaged 8.6 points, 4 rebounds, and 1.3 assists.
Pick: Brook Lopez Under 18.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists (-125)
[procard imageurl=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/736824_ActionPRO_promo_1500x844.jpg” cta=”Premium picks, tools & analysis” firstupsell=”Track & follow smart money” secondupsell=”Biggest player prop edges” thirdupsell=”Real-time expert pick alerts” buttontext=”SAVE 66% NOW!” buttonurl=”/pricing”][/procard]
[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Nikola Jokic Over 30.5 Points (-120, BetRivers)” subtext=”Grizzlies vs. Nuggets, 9:00 p.m. ET” center=”false” logo1url=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/725847_nba_den_150x150.png” link1=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/odds/denver-nuggets” link1follow=”true” logo2url=”” link2=”” link2follow=”true” trailinglogourl=”” trailinglink=”” trailinglinkfollow=”true”][/subheader]
This number is two points lower on BetRivers than it is at most of the other books. I’m grabbing it. This is a massive game for both teams as they jockey for position in the middle of the Western Conference.
With Jamal Murray being ruled out, Jokic has seen a 4.5% usage bump. He’s averaged an extra 2.2 field goal attempts and 2.2 free throw attempts per 36 minutes with Murray on the bench. Jokic has posted 35.3 PPG in 12 games without Murray.
Memphis was torched by Anthony Edwards and the Timberwolves last night. They’ve allowed the 6th-most points per game over the past 10 contests. Zach Edey has seen more playing time since Taylor Jenkins was fired. The Grizzlies‘ defensive rating is worse with Edey on the floor. Jokic should feast in that individual matchup.
Pick: Nikola Jokic Over 30.5 Points (-120)
[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Bobby Portis Over 12.5 Points (-115, Fanatics)” subtext=”Bucks vs. Pistons, 7:00 p.m. ET” center=”false” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nba/100/mil.png” link1=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/odds/milwaukee-bucks” link1follow=”true” logo2url=”” link2=”” link2follow=”true” trailinglogourl=”” trailinglink=”” trailinglinkfollow=”true”][/subheader]
Portis has returned from his suspension and looked like himself, dropping an 18/10 double-double in his return, then 14 points and 8 rebounds last night. He’s another player who would see a massive bump if Giannis Antetokounmpo sits out or plays limited minutes.
Again, neither of these teams is playing for much at this point. I’m making some assumptions based on the situation. This Portis line is the same as last night when we knew Antetokounmpo was available. It doesn’t account for any of the various possibilities. Even if Milwaukee plays it straight, we’re in a fine spot. Portis has averaged 12.4 PPG off the bench this year.
Pick: Bobby Portis Over 12.5 Points (-115)
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