We have a total of three NBA player props for this Wednesday, and our staff of basketball betting experts is focused on some key players who could be in line for noteworthy performances in tonight’s contests.
Read below for our NBA player prop picks for Wednesday, March 5.
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NBA Player Props for Wednesday, March 5
- Alex Sarr Under 7.5 Rebounds (-105)
- Ja Morant Under 1.5 3-Pointers (+145)
- Brook Lopez Under 6.5 Rebounds (-115)
[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Alex Sarr Under 7.5 Rebounds (-105)” subtext=”Jazz vs Wizards, 9:00 p.m. ET” center=”false” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nba/100/wsh.png” link1=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/odds/washington-wizards” link1follow=”true” logo2url=”” link2=”” link2follow=”true” trailinglogourl=”” trailinglink=”” trailinglinkfollow=”true”][/subheader]
By Kyle Murray
This is a big number for Sarr, as he has not seen big minutes all that often, which has led to him averaging 6.5 rebounds per game.
He is clearly getting a boost due to the matchup and the expected close game, but even in a close game, I don’t see Sarr playing any more than 26-28 minutes.
In 26 minutes, I project Sarr for 5.7 rebounds, so I expect this number to come down to 6.5 by the time this game rolls around.
Pick: Alex Sarr Under 7.5 Rebounds (-105)
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[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Ja Morant Under 1.5 3-Pointers (+145)” subtext=”Thunder vs Grizzlies, 9:30 p.m. ET” center=”false” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nba/100/mem.png” link1=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/odds/memphis-grizzlies” link1follow=”true” logo2url=”” link2=”” link2follow=”true” trailinglogourl=”” trailinglink=”” trailinglinkfollow=”true”][/subheader]
By Kyle Murray
We are getting some nice value on this line, as Morant isn’t really a high-volume or efficient 3-point shooter.
He is averaging just 1.5 made 3s per game and has had less than 2 made 3s in 51% of his games this season.
He projects for just 1.4 3s in this matchup against the Thunder, who have allowed the lowest 3PT% in the league this season.
Pick: Ja Morant Under 1.5 3-Pointers (+145)
[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Brook Lopez Under 6.5 Rebounds (-115)” subtext=”Mavericks vs Bucks , 8:00 p.m. ET” center=”false” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nba/100/mil.png” link1=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/odds/milwaukee-bucks” link1follow=”true” logo2url=”” link2=”” link2follow=”true” trailinglogourl=”” trailinglink=”” trailinglinkfollow=”true”][/subheader]
This line is a little too high for Lopez, considering the spot. Lopez is on the second end of a back-to-back, and while he has played many this season, I don’t expect him to get a ton of run, considering the 10-point spread.
The Mavs have one of the worst lineups in the league without Kyrie and Davis, and at this point, they’ve essentially given up on the season and possibly even being over in Dallas.
This game will likely be low-scoring with a 222 total, and we might only see Lopez in the mid-20s minutes. I have Lopez projected for just under 6 boards in this spot, making this a good EV bet.
Pick: Brook Lopez Under 6.5 Rebounds (-115)
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