We have a total of three NBA player props for this Wednesday, and our staff of basketball betting experts is focused on some key players who could be in line for noteworthy performances in tonight’s contests.
Read below for our NBA player prop picks for Wednesday, March 12.
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NBA Player Props for Wednesday, March 12
- Jaylen Brown Over 10.5 Rebounds & Assists (+110)
- Bradley Beal Under 4.5 Assists (-110)
- Guerschon Yabusele Under 15.5 Points & Rebounds (+100)
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[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Jaylen Brown Over 10.5 Rebounds & Assists (+110)” subtext=”Thunder vs Celtics , 7:30 p.m. ET” center=”false” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nba/100/bos.png” link1=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/odds/boston-celtics” link1follow=”true” logo2url=”” link2=”” link2follow=”true” trailinglogourl=”” trailinglink=”” trailinglinkfollow=”true”][/subheader]
This line is too low for what should be a competitive game against the Thunder. Jayson Tatum and Kristaps Porzingis are both listed as questionable and if they play, this game should stay closer. If they don’t, Brown should be in for more usage.
The matchup is tough overall, but with a 2-point spread, we can expect close to 40 minutes for Brown. Brown has been playing well recently, hitting the over at this number in 3 of the last 4 games, and he has been dishing the ball out a lot more. I would hit this line all the way to -110.
Pick: Jaylen Brown Over 10.5 Rebounds & Assists (+110)
[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Bradley Beal Under 4.5 Assists (-110)” subtext=”Suns vs Rockets , 8:00 p.m. ET” center=”false” logo1url=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/875040_Suns.png” link1=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/odds/phoenix-suns” link1follow=”true” logo2url=”” link2=”” link2follow=”true” trailinglogourl=”” trailinglink=”” trailinglinkfollow=”true”][/subheader]
This line is heavily inflated due to Beal’s recent play, but those numbers are pretty misleading. Beal has averaged five assists per game in the last five games but on just 6.8 potential assists per game. Over the last two games, he has averaged 7.5 assists on 7.5 potential assists.
Those numbers aren’t sustainable, and Devin Booker and Kevin Durant have been dishing the ball out a ton more than Beal. This is a clear sell-high spot.
Pick: Bradley Beal Under 4.5 Assists (-110)
[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Guerschon Yabusele Under 15.5 Points & Rebounds (+100)” subtext=”76ers vs Raptors, 7:30 p.m. ET” center=”false” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nba/100/phi.png” link1=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/odds/philadelphia-76ers” link1follow=”true” logo2url=”” link2=”” link2follow=”true” trailinglogourl=”” trailinglink=”” trailinglinkfollow=”true”][/subheader]
We successfully faded Yabusele on Monday, so I’m returning to the same angle tonight. Head coach Nick Nurse has been relying more on the younger players, which has trimmed the minutes for guys like Yabusele. He played 12 minutes on Sunday and then 28 on Monday.
Yabusele has averaged 9.8 points and 4.8 rebounds when playing 20-29 minutes (22 games). That seems like a reasonable workload expectation here; we know the floor is lower.
Toronto is banged up, but it’s been tough on defense recently. Over the last 10 games, it ranks 7th in defensive rating and 11th in rebounding rate.
Pick: Guerschon Yabusele Under 15.5 Points & Rebounds (+100)