We have a total of three NBA player props for this Monday, and our staff of basketball betting experts is focused on some key players who could be in line for noteworthy performances in tonight’s contests.
Read below for our NBA player prop picks for Monday, March 10.
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NBA Player Props for Monday, March 10
- Chris Paul Under 3.5 Rebounds (-145)
- Alex Sarr Under 7.5 Rebounds (-120)
- Onyeka Okongwu 10+ Rebounds (-135)
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[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Chris Paul Under 3.5 Rebounds (-145)” subtext=”Mavericks vs Spurs, 8:30 p.m. ET” center=”false” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nba/100/sas.png” link1=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/odds/san-antonio-spurs” link1follow=”true” logo2url=”” link2=”” link2follow=”true” trailinglogourl=”” trailinglink=”” trailinglinkfollow=”true”][/subheader]
This line is far too high. The matchup against the Mavs isn’t bad, as they are decimated by injuries, but Paul really isn’t a great rebounder.
He’s hit the under at this number in 8 of the last 9 games and is mainly on the court to facilitate.
RotoGrinders has Paul projected for under 3 boards, and I have him projected for even lower, making this a great bet.
Pick: Chris Paul Under 3.5 Rebounds (-145)
[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Alex Sarr Under 8.5 Rebounds (-120)” subtext=”Wizards vs Raptors , 7:30 p.m. ET” center=”false” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nba/100/wsh.png” link1=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/odds/washington-wizards” link1follow=”true” logo2url=”” link2=”” link2follow=”true” trailinglogourl=”” trailinglink=”” trailinglinkfollow=”true”][/subheader]
By Jim Turvey
This number seems entirely too skewed by Sarr’s most recent outing, in which he had a career-high 14 rebounds.
That was against this same Raptors team, but overall, he has gone under this line in 33 of 47 games this season.
Toronto is exactly league average in terms of rebounds allowed this season, and RotoGrinders projects Sarr for 6.5 rebounds.
Pick: Alex Sarr Under 8.5 Rebounds (-120)
[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Onyeka Okongwu 10+ Rebounds (-135)” subtext=”76ers vs Hawks, 7:30 p.m. ET” center=”false” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nba/100/atl.png” link1=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/odds/atlanta-hawks” link1follow=”true” logo2url=”” link2=”” link2follow=”true” trailinglogourl=”” trailinglink=”” trailinglinkfollow=”true”][/subheader]
Okongwu has crushed on the glass recently, averaging 11.8 rebounds on 17.3 rebound chances over the past 5 games. He had 12+ rebounds in 4 of those games. Since the start of February, Okongwu has averaged 9.9 rebounds on 15.3 rebound chances. More importantly, he’s played 30.7 minutes per game, pushing Clint Capela to a backup role.
Philadelphia is dead last in rebounding rate. They’ve allowed the 8th-most rebounds per game over the past 10 games. Head coach Nick Nurse mentioned lessening the workload for the veterans before yesterday’s game, and he followed through in a big way. Andre Drummond and Guerschon Yabusele were capped at 10 and 12 minutes, respectively. Kelly Oubre Jr. only played 20 minutes.
Nurse turned the keys over to Philly’s younger players, which could make this an even easier matchup. Drummond, Yabusele, and Oubre have been the top rebounders for the Sixers, along with Joel Embiid and Paul George, who are both out tonight.
Pick: Onyeka Okongwu 10+ Rebounds (-135)
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