nba picks monday - Anthony Edwards #5 of the Minnesota Timberwolves shoots a free throw

NBA Picks Tonight: 3 Biggest Spread Betting Model Edges (March 4)

Tonight’s NBA schedule includes just six games, however, there are still some very beefy spread edges available.

In fact, savvy bettors should considering keying in on Memphis Grizzlies vs. Brooklyn Nets, Los Angeles Clippers vs. Milwaukee Bucks and Portland Trail Blazers vs. Minnesota Timberwolves when determining their top NBA picks tonight.

Let’s discuss.

NBA Picks Tonight

*NBA odds as of Monday afternoon

Grizzlies vs. Nets Pick

7:30 p.m. ET | YES

The first NBA game to tip on Monday is also offering the biggest betting model edge of the slate.

Brooklyn is currently a 9.5-point favorite against Memphis as of the time of writing.

However, the Action Network’s NBA PRO Projections make this spread Grizzlies +5.7, providing a 10.3% edge for those willing to take the points in this matchup.

PRO Projections Pick: Grizzlies +9.5


Clippers vs. Bucks Pick

8 p.m. ET | NBA TV

Clippers vs. Bucks is among Monday’s most interesting NBA matchups with a notable betting model edge to boot.

We project this line at Los Angeles +3.1, which translates to a 6.2% edge when compared to the widely available +5.5.

PRO Projections Pick: Clippers +5.5

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Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves Pick

8 p.m. ET | BSN

NBA teams getting too many points is becoming a theme on Monday night.

In this example, Portland sits at +14 against Minnesota, making the Trail Blazers the biggest underdogs — by far — of tonight’s slate.

But just like the two games above, our NBA PRO Projections suggest that this spread is too long.

Our model projects the Blazers at +9.2, resulting in an 8.8% edge for value-minded bettors.

PRO Projections Pick: Trail Blazers +14


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