Friday’s Cavaliers vs. Pacers Game 3 (7:30 p.m. ET, ESPN) is a textbook example of the importance of tracking NBA odds movement and, more importantly, knowing how to react.
In a surprising start to the series, Indiana won the first two games in Cleveland and now bring a 2-0 lead back to Gainbridge Fieldhouse for tonight’s Game 3.
Live NBA odds show the Cavaliers vs. Pacers spread at Cleveland -5 heading into tonight’s game, however, there has already been significant line movement to this point.
So this begs the question: Should savvy NBA bettors tail the spread movement or is it time to buy back the Pacers at home?
Thanks to Action PRO’s premium betting tools, we can quickly answer this very question.
NBA Odds, Smartest Spread Pick for Cavaliers vs. Pacers
*Odds as of Friday afternoon
As mentioned above, the Cavs are currently listed as 5-point spread favorites against the Pacers for tonight’s matchup.
With that said, BetMGM opened this line at Cleveland -1.5 before an influx of sharp Cavaliers action came in hard, driving the spread all the way out to the latest price of -5.
And yes, this line move was driven by respected bettors so we should feel comfortable tailing this, right?
Not so fast my friend.
Action PRO’s NBA Projections make this spread Cleveland -2.3, suggesting the market has jumped the shark and Indy is now ripe for buyback.
With Pacers +5 widely available, value-minded bettors can now snag a massive 9% edge with Indiana based on PRO’s +2.3 projection.
But wait, there’s more!
Some shops have even pushed out to +5.5, providing even more value for those willing to back Indiana on Friday night.
PRO Pick: Pacers +5.5 (-110) — BetMGM
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