Editor’s note: LeBron James has entered the NBA’s Health & Safety Protocols and will miss this game.
Los Angeles Lakers vs. Sacramento Kings Odds
| Lakers Odds | -4 (-115) |
| Kings Odds | +4 (+105) |
| Over/Under | 227 |
| Date | Tuesday, Nov. 30 |
| Time | 10:10 p.m. ET |
| TV | NBA League Pass |
*Odds as of Tuesday morning, via DraftKings.
The Lakers will look to avenge a loss last week to the Kings in triple overtime when they play in Sacramento on Tuesday night.
Despite 50 minutes, 30 points, 11 assists and seven rebounds from LeBron James, the Lakers dropped the ball after 3OTs against this below-average Kings squad last Friday.
James missed the game-winning three pointer to push the game into overtime. Then, with the Lakers leading by five with just over a minute to go, the Kings scored five unanswered to tie the game.
A Russell Westbrook and Anthony Davis pick-and-roll put the Lakers up two, but Buddy Hield hit a beautiful fadeaway to send the game into double overtime.
D’Aaron Fox and LeBron James traded buckets down the stretch in double overtime to bring it to a third. Then, the Kings finally took over and sealed the deal.
Despite that result, the sportsbooks have this one priced at Kings +4.
That’s because the Kings’ advanced metrics aren’t great. They’re 14th in points per 100 possessions and in the bottom 10 in total defense. Sacramento sit at 8-13 straight up on the season, including 9-12 against the spread. The Kings have only covered while losing one time this season.
But, the Lakers are a worse 7-15 against the spread this season — including 3-11 as favorites. The advanced metrics are far more kind to them and, of course, they have two of the best players in the league on their side.
A note that for Tuesday night’s game, James is questionable but is still expected to play. Likewise, Davis is probable but is still expected to suit up.
Read about what The Action Network’s models think will go down in this one.
Lakers vs. Kings Sharp Action, Big Money, Model Pick
The sharps and big money are going heavy on Kings +4 for this one.
As a result, the line moved from Kings +5 to +4 on Tuesday. Before that line shift, though, one wise guy put $245,000 on the Kings to cover at +5. That bet would net $222,727.
The Action Network’s models have detected sharp action across the board on the Kings spread for this one.
In addition, while Sacramento is getting just 29% of the bets, about 49% of the money is on their spread. That means a minority of bettors are putting in big money on the Kings spread.
Also, The Action Network’s model projection says the Kings should be only 1.9-point underdogs instead of 4-point dogs.
PRO Report Pick: Kings +4
_PromoID=[5577, 3995, 2339]