As Thursday’s NBA Finals Game 1 approaches between the Indiana Pacers and the Oklahoma City Thunder, it’s time to get a jump on some of the best player prop bets.
While we’ll be breaking down where spreads and total wagers are landing in PRO Report later this week, for now, our focus is on top player prop over/unders guided by our proprietary PRO Projections.
This system helps identify edges by meticulously comparing matchups, betting market odds and more, then listing the best bets.
Below, we’ll cover three over/under picks for Pacers vs. Thunder Game 1, which form a +340 parlay option at BetMGM.
Best NBA Over/Under Prop Picks for Pacers vs. Thunder Game 1
A clear theme emerges from these early player prop picks: all overs, driven by favorable matchups and player roles.
First up, Isaiah Joe of the Thunder is projected to surpass the 2.5 points mark with a PRO forecast of 5.4 points. Home-court advantage often boosts role players, making Joe’s over an excellent value with the best odds currently at Bet365. This pick stands out as the top player prop edge for Game 1.
Next, Indiana’s Aaron Nesmith gets the nod over 11.5 points, supported by PRO’s projection of 13.8. FanDuel offers the best odds on a straight bet at +104, presenting a solid opportunity for bettors looking to ride a hot hand – Nesmith averaged 13.1 points per game last round vs. the Knicks.
Rounding out the trio is Pacers star Pascal Siakam, who is projected to score over 19.5 points with PRO estimating 22.2. Siakam’s scoring has been consistent, averaging 20.2 points in the regular season and even improving to 21.1 in the playoffs. BetMGM offers the top odds at -110 on this pick.
For those looking to parlay all three, the best price is BetMGM.
+340 NBA Parlay for Pacers vs. Thunder Game 1
[quickslipbasic bookname=”BetMGM” booklogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/779359_BetMGM800x200@1x.png” image=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2025/06/IMG_2524.jpeg” buttontext=”Tail PRO’s Game 1 Parlay Instantly” buttonlink=”https://sharpside.com/books/betmgm/passthrough?deeplinkId[0]=ML1607636067&deeplinkId[1]=ML1605623702&deeplinkId[2]=ML1605620626&context=qs-articles”][/quickslipbasic]
_InlineAdBlock
Our PRO signals flag far more great picks than our staff could author each day — that’s where Action AI comes in. Using generative AI, signals that hit a high grade threshold are written up into articles that are then vetted and edited by a human to help us get you all the sharp action. Read more about how it works here.