The Dallas Mavericks (39-43) will visit the Memphis Grizzlies (48-34) in the final matchup of the NBA Play-In Tournament tonight. Tipoff is set for 9:30 p.m. ET from FedExForum in Memphis, Tennessee. The game will broadcast live on ESPN.
The Grizzlies are 5.5-point favorites over the Mavericks on the spread (Grizzlies -5.5), with the over/under set at 220.5 total points. Memphis is a -240 favorite to win outright, while Dallas is +195 to pull off the upset.
The loser of the 8-9 game faces off against the winner of the 9-10 game in the Western Conference tonight, as the Mavericks try and salvage some of Nico Harrison’s ego (impossible) and make the playoffs, while Memphis battles to keep hope alive.
Let’s get into my Mavericks vs. Grizzlies predictions and NBA picks for Friday, April 18.
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Mavericks vs Grizzlies Prediction, Picks
My Grizzlies vs. Mavericks best bets for tonight are on Dallas moneyline and Under 220.5 total points, with the best prices currently available at bet365 (moneyline) and DraftKings (total). But as always, make sure to shop for the best lines using our live NBA odds page.
My Picks: Mavericks Moneyline (+195), Under 220.5 (-110)
Mavericks vs Grizzlies Betting Odds
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- Mavericks vs. Grizzlies spread: Grizzlies -5.5
- Mavericks vs. Grizzlies over/under: 220.5 total points
- Mavericks vs. Grizzlies moneyline: Mavericks +195, Grizzlies -240
- Mavericks vs. Grizzlies best bet: Mavericks ML, Under 220.5
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Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies NBA Play-In Game Preview
Just a heads up, the 10th seed is 0-8 in attempts to reach the playoffs. They’ve never won this game. Favorites are also 7-1 straight up and ATS, which leans towards Memphis.
Of course, I’m throwing all that out and going with the Mavericks tonight.
The key here is Anthony Davis. AD is 16-6 SU against Memphis since being traded to the Lakers. Jaren Jackson Jr. is an all-world defender who is absolutely helpless against Davis.
Davis struggles against bigger, more physical defenders. Zach Edey might have a chance in four years, but with Daniel Gafford and Dereck Lively both available, he won’t be guarding AD anyway.
Ja Morant is questionable after suffering an ankle injury against the Warriors a few days ago. The Grizzlies are already without their best perimeter defender in Jaylen Wells and their best backup big Brandon Clarke.
Scottie Pippen Jr. had a great game against Steph Curry, but will likely struggle against Klay Thompson and the bigger Mavericks guards.
Expect a defensive battle, but for the Mavericks to reach the postseason and put the Grizzlies’ pitiful season out of its misery.
Mavericks vs Grizzlies Betting Prediction
- Mavericks Moneyline (+195)
- Under 220.5 (-110)
Mavericks vs Grizzlies Parlay Picks
- Anthony Davis Over 39.5 Points + Rebounds
- Mavericks ML
Parlay Payout: +355
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[howtowatch gameid=”254046″ date=”20250418″][/howtowatch]
Mavericks vs Grizzlies Betting Trends
- 60% of bets and 61% of the money are on the Mavericks to cover the spread
- 37% of bets and 73% of the money on the moneyline are on the Mavericks to win outright
- 96% of bets and 96% of the money are on the over
Betting trends via our live, updating NBA public betting & money percentages page.
Mavericks vs Grizzlies Injury Report
Mavericks Injuries
- No injuries reported
Grizzlies Injuries
- PG Kennard is questionable with back
For the latest on NBA injuries, be sure to check out our NBA Injury Report page.
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