The Houston Rockets (37-22) will host the Sacramento Kings (30-28) in the NBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 8 p.m. ET from the Toyota Center in Houston, Texas. The game will broadcast live on NBA League Pass.
The Rockets are 4.5-point favorites over the Kings on the spread (Rockets -4.5), with the over/under set at 230.5 total points. Houston is a -185 favorite to win outright, while Sacramento is +154 to pull off the upset.
Let’s get to my Kings vs. Rockets predictions and NBA picks for Saturday, March 1.
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Kings vs Rockets Prediction, Picks
Over/Under
My Rockets vs. Kings best bet is on Fred VanVleet Under 22.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists, with the best line currently available at DraftKings. But as always, make sure to shop for the best line using our live NBA odds page.
Spread
I will not be betting either side of the spread in tonight’s contest.
My Pick: Fred VanVleet Under 22.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists
Kings vs Rockets Odds, Lines, Spread
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- Kings vs. Rockets spread: Rockets -4.5
- Kings vs. Rockets over/under: 230.5 total points
- Kings vs. Rockets moneyline: Kings +154, Rockets -185
- Kings vs. Rockets best bet: Fred VanVleet Under 22.5 PTS + REB + AST (-120)
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Fred VanVleet is expected to make his return for the Rockets tonight after missing exactly a month with an ankle injury.
Head coach Ime Udoka has already stated VanVleet will reclaim his role in the starting lineup. That’s not a big surprise, but the interesting note from Udoka was that Amen Thompson would remain a starter. It’ll be Jabari Smith who will move to a bench role.
The group of Fred VanVleet/Amen Thompson/Alperen Sengun/Jalen Green/Dillon Brooks has played 212 minutes together. VanVleet is last in usage rate and rebounding rate in that sample. He’s behind Sengun in assist rate, and Thompson isn’t too far away.
VanVleet has averaged 18.6 PRA per 36 minutes in that configuration. He likely won’t spend all his time with those exact four players, but he’s also unlikely to play anywhere near 36 minutes in his first game back from a lower body injury.
Sacramento is a bottom-10 defense over the past 10 games, but they’re also bottom-10 in pace. They’ve played slower since the De’Aaron Fox trade. It’s a fine matchup, but the lineup situation is working against VanVleet.
Best Bet: Fred VanVleet Under 22.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-120)
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The Rockets are near the top of the league in rebounding rate, but they are near the middle in boards allowed per game.
The spread is sitting at 5, which means this should be a close game, and with a 231.5 total, it should have a decent pace.
Keegan Murray has been great on the boards this month for the Kings, getting 5+ in every game thus far and hitting the over at this number in 7 out of 11 games.
Pick: Keegan Murray Over 5.5 Rebounds (-140)
Rockets vs Kings Same Game Parlay
- Fred VanVleet Under 22.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists
- Keegan Murray Over 5.5 Rebounds
Parlay Payout: +186
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Kings vs. Rockets Betting Trends
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