Advanced NBA projections dug up a monster edge on Kawhi Leonard player props for Thursday, April 20, when the Los Angeles Clippers and Phoenix Suns square off for Game 3 of their NBA playoffs first-round series.
Our expert projections crunch odds for every player prop and designate a letter grade depending how big the pick is.
After analyzing Suns vs. Clippers, projections’ top pick for Game 3 is on Leonard’s assist total of 4.5.
The pick is so juicy, model projections tab it as an A+ recommendation.
NBA player prop projections as of Thursday, and odds via DraftKings
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Kawhi Leonard Player Props, Picks
Action Network’s NBA player prop projections recommend bettors to take Leonard under 4.5 assists in Game 3.
Our numbers made the over/under more like 3.7, giving bettors who take Leonard’s under a solid 20.7% betting edge and A+ grade.
Bettors shopping around can find the best odds at DraftKings, where Leonard’s assist total under is priced +115.
Leonard’s admittedly gone over this total in three straight games — all against the Suns — posting assist totals of 7, 6 and 5.
However, the Suns rank third in assists allowed per game (23.3) and have been great on the road, ranking second.
