Utah Jazz vs. Memphis Grizzlies Odds
| Jazz Odds | +4 |
| Grizzlies Odds | -4 |
| Over/Under | 228 |
| Time | 8 p.m. ET |
| TV | NBA League Pass |
| Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute NBA odds here. | |
This game between the Jazz and Grizzlies has a 63% profitable against-the-spread (ATS) PRO Betting System.
The historically fruitful system dates back to 2005. If you had wagered $100 on the roughly 10 NBA games per year that have fit the algorithm since 2005, you’d be up over $3,200, or about $200 per year.
That’s a solid 63% win rate over a long sample size. For reference, a success rate of 52.4% is enough to turn a profit.
The system has a historical 23% return on investment (ROI). Of course, anything above 0% is an ROI win. Any ROI above 8% beats the stock market’s average annual return.
Read further to see what the system is, the theory behind it and how to incorporate it for tonight’s game.
Jazz vs. Grizzlies 63% Profitable Betting System Pick
This betting algorithm targets small road underdogs coming off of an ATS loss. The algorithm also fades the public when they ride small home favorites that are coming off of an against-the-spread win.
Largely, teams coming off of ATS losses are undervalued in the market. And retail bettors love teams coming off of wins, which inflates those teams’ value.
Retail bettors are hammering the Grizzlies for this contest on account of Rudy Gobert’s absence and Donovan Mitchell being questionable.
That public action has been enough to move the line from Jazz +3 to a market consensus of Jazz +4.
That’s one key for this algorithm — line movement in favor of the road underdog in question.
Another parameter requires the road team — in this case, the Jazz — to have been underdog ATS losers in their previous game. Utah was a +1 underdog against Phoenix on Wednesday but lost by eight points.
The third parameter requires the home team — the Grizzlies — to have covered their previous game. Memphis were -4.5 favorites against San Antonio and won by eight points.
If you’re concerned about this algorithm and betting the Jazz because they might be missing Gobert and Mitchell — their two best players — a stat that may allay your fears is that Utah has been 2-3 ATS with Mitchell out and 1-1 ATS with both Mitchell and Gobert out. That’s about league average, albeit over a very small sample size.
This historically profitable algorithm only fulfills 9.6 NBA games per year. This might be an opportunity to cash in — but keep in mind that this is a long-term investment.
Make sure to keep track and follow through on this betting system as the season continues in order to fully actualize that 23% return on investment.
Betting System Pick: Jazz +4 or better.
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