Heat vs. Knicks Odds, Pick | NBA Betting Prediction (Tuesday, May 2)

Heat vs. Knicks Odds

The Heat pulled up to Madison Square Garden on Sunday afternoon and pummeled the Knicks by shutting down their key offensive weapon: Jalen Brunson.

Miami used elite team defense to contain the star guard, who still put up 25 points but had a horrific shooting night. Brunson called his play “horrific” on Sunday.

Without Julius Randle, the Knicks are without a key offensive element that saw them near the top of the league in efficiency.

Are the Heat able to replicate that success on Tuesday night from the Garden?

The Action Network has developed a historically profitable algorithm that has returned 16% on investment since 2005.

The system incorporates these qualitative factors — alongside far more quantitative ones — to identify an edge.

Heat vs. Knicks NBA Odds, Prediction

The Action Network’s historically profitable system has won 60% of the time and has a 16% ROI since 2005.

The system accounts for sharp action in the playoffs. When the percentage of money is greater than the percentage of tickets across all major American sportsbooks — and the team is the favorite — a pick on the spread fits the criteria for this system.

In other words, favorites with heavy sharp action on them tend to cover come playoff time.

All of those criteria fit the Knicks’ spread on Tuesday night. While only 53% of the bets nationwide are on them to cover, about 85% of the money is. That 32% discrepancy indicates a gaggle of big moneyed bettors are putting big dollars on the Knicks to cover tonight.

That sharp action has moved the line from its open at Knicks -4.5 to its current market worst of -6.5. The market-best price as of Tuesday night is with BetMGM at -5.5 (-115).

As aforementioned, this betting system wins 60% of the time. But the other 40% are Ls. That’s how sports betting works. In order to profit through the variance, ensure that you’re placing the same unit sizing across all wagers.

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