Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics Odds
| Heat Odds | +8.5 |
| Celtics Odds | -8.5 |
| Over/Under | 201.5 |
| Date | Friday, May 27 |
| Time | 8:30 p.m. ET |
| Channel | TNT |
*Odds as of Friday morning, according to FanDuel
Game 6 of this Eastern Conference Finals has sharp bettors targeting one side of the spread, according to the Action Network’s proprietary tracking data.
Our data has discerned that a small group of smart money bettors are slapping a lot of money on one side to cover the spread tonight.
This pick fades the rest of the public.
This side of the spread also fits a historically profitable, against the spread betting algorithm that boasts an impressive 19% return on investment (ROI) since 2005.
Over the last 17 years, if you had wagered $100 per game on the roughly 25 NBA playoff games per year that have fit this betting system, then you’d be up over $5,500 today.
That’s about $325 per playoffs, good for a solid 61% win rate over a lengthy sample size. A win rate of 52.5% is enough to make a profit.
Heat vs. Celtics Pick
Smart money bettors are targeting the Celtics’ spread at a market-best price of -8.5 (-110).
While the market opened at that price, sharp money has been enough to move the line to a market-worst of -9 (-110) at WynnBet.
Meanwhile, the previously mentioned betting system applies to the Celtics’ spread, too.
This algorithm targets playoff favorites that have a ton of sharp and big-money bettors on their spread line.
As aforementioned, this betting system has a 19% ROI since 2005.
Keep in mind that the algorithm applies to about 25 NBA playoff games per year. A 19% return on investment is only applicable when averaging out those picks.
PRO Report Pick: Celtics -8.5 or better
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