celtics vs. heat-odds-prediction-pick-preview-nba-may 19-2022

Celtics vs. Heat NBA Eastern Conference Finals Odds, Predictions: Smart Money Picks for Tuesday’s Game 1

Boston Celtics vs. Miami Heat Odds

Celtics Odds +1.5 (-112)
Heat Odds -1.5 (-108)
Over/Under 204
Date Tuesday, May 17
Time 8:30 p.m. ET
Channel ESPN

*Odds as of Monday night, according to FanDuel

The tipoff to an intriguing Eastern Conference Finals takes place on Tuesday night.

Sharp and big moneyed bettors have conviction on one side of both the total and moneyline for this contest.

One of the Action Network’s foremost NBA handicappers is also on both sides of these picks.

Meanwhile, one of our proprietary betting systems indicates there’s a value play on the spread, too.

The algorithm — which applies only to spreads during the playoffs — has a historical return of 19%, meaning a $100 bettor would have netted about $6,000 if they had bet on every game the betting system has fit since 2005.

The betting system fits about 20 NBA playoffs games a year.

Celtics vs. Heat Picks

We’ll start with the total. Sharp bettors have decimated this total from its opening mark of 206.5 to its current pick at 204.

And big moneyed bettors have targeted the Heat moneyline at a market-best price of -120.

As aforementioned, one of our premier NBA handicappers is on both lines, too.

Meanwhile, our historically profitable betting algorithm targets playoff favorites that have a ton of sharp and big-money bettors on their spread line.

That’s best indicated by fewer individual tickets than total money on a specific spread. This means that a small group of bettors is betting a massive amount of dollars on the favorite to cover.

This phenomenon is true for the Heat at -1.5 or better. FanDuel has the best price on the market at -108.

PRO Report Pick: Heat -1.5 or better (-108) | Under 204 or better | Heat -120 or better

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