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UFC 293 Odds, Pick & Prediction for Blood Diamond vs. Charlie Radtke: Go Small on Big Underdog (Saturday, September 9)

Blood Diamond vs. Charlie Radtke Odds

Diamond Odds
+250
Radtke Odds
-325
Over/Under
1.5 rounds (-130 / +100)
Venue
Qudos Bank Arena in Sydney, Australia
Start Time
7:30 p.m. ET
TV
ESPN+
Odds as of Saturday afternoon and via Caesars

City Kickboxing has a big presence at UFC 293, including Blood Diamond vs. Charlie Radtke in a welterweight clash.

Diamond (aka Mike Mathetha) gets a third shot at a first UFC win – likely in his final opportunity to do so – when he meets a fellow striker in Radtke, who recently parlayed a CFFC title win into a UFC contract.

Despite Diamond’s kickboxing background, he’s a sizable underdog to 11-year vet Radtke.

Let’s break down Blood Diamond vs. Radtke at UFC 293.

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Tale of the Tape

Diamond Radtke
Record 3-2 7-3
Avg. Fight Time 9:49 n/a
Height 5-foot-11 5-foot-9
Weight 170.25 pounds 170.3 pounds
Reach (inches) 76″ 72″
Stance Switch Orthodox
Date of birth 7/10/1988 7/9/1990
Sig Strikes Per Minute 3.26 0.00
SS Accuracy 63% 0%
SS Absorbed Per Minute 2.04 0.00
SS Defense 43% 0%
Take Down Average 0.00 0.00
TD Acc 0% 0%
TD Def 69% 0%
Submission Average 0.0 0.0

Diamond, a training partner and teammate of UFC 293 headliner and champ Israel Adesanya, will get his third (and potentially final) try at a UFC win on Saturday against Radtke, the CFFC welterweight champion.

Radtke, a former lightweight, is the smaller man in this matchup (two inches shorter, four-inch reach discrepancy) and may struggle to complete takedowns against a bigger, stronger fighter.

Diamond struggled with a pure grappler in Jeremiah Wells and a pure wrestler in Orion Cosce but might have more success defending takedowns against Radtke, the most undersized athlete of the three.

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Radkte is well-rounded enough to keep the fight competitive – or potentially win the striking – even if he can’t land takedowns.

Still, he should mix things up against Mathetha, who has more of a pure kickboxing skillset.

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Diamond vs. Radtke Pick

Radtke doesn’t have the best cardio, either.

And if he tries – and fails – to take down Diamond, he may gas himself out before the second half of the fight.

Take a small underdog shot on Mathetha – or Blood Diamond – depending on the book at +245 or better.

The Pick: Blood Diamond (+260, 0.25u at Caesars)

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